Unitedhealth Group Incorporated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 558.67
| UNH Stock | USD 533.55 31.64 5.60% |
Closest to current price UnitedHealth long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
UnitedHealth |
UnitedHealth Group Target Price Odds to finish below 558.67
The tendency of UnitedHealth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 558.67 after 90 days |
| 533.55 | 90 days | 558.67 | about 8.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UnitedHealth Group to stay under $ 558.67 after 90 days from now is about 8.07 (This UnitedHealth Group Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of UnitedHealth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UnitedHealth Group price to stay between its current price of $ 533.55 and $ 558.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, UnitedHealth Group will likely underperform. Additionally UnitedHealth Group Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UnitedHealth Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UnitedHealth Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UnitedHealth Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UnitedHealth Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UnitedHealth Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UnitedHealth Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UnitedHealth Group Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UnitedHealth Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
UnitedHealth Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UnitedHealth Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UnitedHealth Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UnitedHealth Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| UnitedHealth Group Incorporated has 62.54 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.59, which is OK given its current industry classification. UnitedHealth Group has a current ratio of 0.76, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for UnitedHealth to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 90.0% of UnitedHealth Group outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from vanityfair.com: The Famous Death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson |
UnitedHealth Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UnitedHealth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UnitedHealth Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UnitedHealth Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 938 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.6 B |
UnitedHealth Group Technical Analysis
UnitedHealth Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UnitedHealth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing UnitedHealth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UnitedHealth Group Predictive Forecast Models
UnitedHealth Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many UnitedHealth Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UnitedHealth Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UnitedHealth Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about UnitedHealth Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UnitedHealth Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UnitedHealth Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| UnitedHealth Group Incorporated has 62.54 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.59, which is OK given its current industry classification. UnitedHealth Group has a current ratio of 0.76, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for UnitedHealth to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 90.0% of UnitedHealth Group outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from vanityfair.com: The Famous Death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson |
Check out UnitedHealth Group Backtesting, UnitedHealth Group Valuation, UnitedHealth Group Correlation, UnitedHealth Group Hype Analysis, UnitedHealth Group Volatility, UnitedHealth Group History as well as UnitedHealth Group Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UnitedHealth Group. If investors know UnitedHealth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UnitedHealth Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.043 | Dividend Share 7.96 | Earnings Share 15.39 | Revenue Per Share 427.221 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.092 |
The market value of UnitedHealth Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UnitedHealth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UnitedHealth Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UnitedHealth Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UnitedHealth Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UnitedHealth Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UnitedHealth Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UnitedHealth Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UnitedHealth Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.