Wheels Up Experience Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03
| UP Stock | USD 2.61 0.20 8.30% |
Wheels |
Wheels Up Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03
The tendency of Wheels Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 2.61 | 90 days | 0.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wheels Up to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wheels Up Experience probability density function shows the probability of Wheels Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wheels Up Experience price to stay between $ 0.03 and its current price of $2.61 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.29 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Wheels Up will likely underperform. Additionally Wheels Up Experience has an alpha of 0.2602, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wheels Up Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wheels Up
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wheels Up Experience. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wheels Up Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wheels Up is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wheels Up's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wheels Up Experience, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wheels Up within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Wheels Up Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wheels Up for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wheels Up Experience can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wheels Up Experience is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Wheels Up Experience appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Wheels Up Experience reports 336.9 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.2, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from financial leverage. Wheels Up Experience has a current ratio of 0.53, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Wheels to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity generated the yearly revenue of 1.25 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (487.39 M) with gross profit of 43.49 M. | |
| Wheels Up Experience reports about 585.88 M in cash with (665.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.75. | |
| Wheels Up Experience has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of Wheels Up outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 9904 shares by Mark Briffa of Wheels Up at 2.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Wheels Up Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wheels Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wheels Up's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wheels Up's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 263.9 M |
Wheels Up Technical Analysis
Wheels Up's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wheels Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wheels Up Experience. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wheels Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wheels Up Predictive Forecast Models
Wheels Up's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wheels Up's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wheels Up's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wheels Up Experience
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wheels Up for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wheels Up Experience help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wheels Up Experience is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Wheels Up Experience appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Wheels Up Experience reports 336.9 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.2, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from financial leverage. Wheels Up Experience has a current ratio of 0.53, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Wheels to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity generated the yearly revenue of 1.25 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (487.39 M) with gross profit of 43.49 M. | |
| Wheels Up Experience reports about 585.88 M in cash with (665.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.75. | |
| Wheels Up Experience has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of Wheels Up outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 9904 shares by Mark Briffa of Wheels Up at 2.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Wheels Stock Analysis
When running Wheels Up's price analysis, check to measure Wheels Up's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wheels Up is operating at the current time. Most of Wheels Up's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wheels Up's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wheels Up's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wheels Up to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.