ATMOS ENERGY P Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 99.68

049560AK1   97.99  2.85  2.83%   
ATMOS's future price is the expected price of ATMOS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ATMOS ENERGY P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ATMOS Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ATMOS Correlation, ATMOS Hype Analysis, ATMOS Volatility, ATMOS History as well as ATMOS Performance.
  
Please specify ATMOS's target price for which you would like ATMOS odds to be computed.

ATMOS Target Price Odds to finish below 99.68

The tendency of ATMOS Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  99.68  after 90 days
 97.99 90 days 99.68 
about 11.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATMOS to stay under  99.68  after 90 days from now is about 11.36 (This ATMOS ENERGY P probability density function shows the probability of ATMOS Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATMOS ENERGY P price to stay between its current price of  97.99  and  99.68  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ATMOS ENERGY P has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ATMOS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ATMOS ENERGY P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ATMOS ENERGY P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ATMOS Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1590.4192.6494.8797.1198.78100.46102.43104.36107.15109.39Current PriceTargetATMOS Mean 0.050.100.15
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ATMOS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATMOS ENERGY P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.8797.9999.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.5880.70107.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ATMOS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ATMOS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ATMOS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ATMOS ENERGY P.

ATMOS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATMOS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATMOS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATMOS ENERGY P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATMOS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
2.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

ATMOS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATMOS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATMOS ENERGY P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ATMOS ENERGY P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ATMOS Technical Analysis

ATMOS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATMOS Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATMOS ENERGY P. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATMOS Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ATMOS Predictive Forecast Models

ATMOS's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATMOS's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATMOS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ATMOS ENERGY P

Checking the ongoing alerts about ATMOS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATMOS ENERGY P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ATMOS ENERGY P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ATMOS Bond

ATMOS financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATMOS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATMOS with respect to the benefits of owning ATMOS security.