MCKESSON P NEW Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 106.03

581557BN4   95.92  3.50  3.52%   
MCKESSON's future price is the expected price of MCKESSON instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MCKESSON P NEW performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MCKESSON Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, MCKESSON Correlation, MCKESSON Hype Analysis, MCKESSON Volatility, MCKESSON History as well as MCKESSON Performance.
For information on how to trade MCKESSON Bond refer to our How to Trade MCKESSON Bond guide.
  
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MCKESSON Target Price Odds to finish over 106.03

The tendency of MCKESSON Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  106.03  or more in 90 days
 95.92 90 days 106.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MCKESSON to move over  106.03  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MCKESSON P NEW probability density function shows the probability of MCKESSON Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MCKESSON P NEW price to stay between its current price of  95.92  and  106.03  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MCKESSON P NEW has a beta of -0.22. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MCKESSON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MCKESSON P NEW is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MCKESSON P NEW has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MCKESSON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MCKESSON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MCKESSON P NEW. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.8995.9296.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.0982.12105.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.3796.4097.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.5899.96103.33
Details

MCKESSON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MCKESSON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MCKESSON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MCKESSON P NEW, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MCKESSON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

MCKESSON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MCKESSON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MCKESSON P NEW can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MCKESSON P NEW generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

MCKESSON Technical Analysis

MCKESSON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MCKESSON Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MCKESSON P NEW. In general, you should focus on analyzing MCKESSON Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MCKESSON Predictive Forecast Models

MCKESSON's time-series forecasting models is one of many MCKESSON's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MCKESSON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MCKESSON P NEW

Checking the ongoing alerts about MCKESSON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MCKESSON P NEW help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MCKESSON P NEW generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in MCKESSON Bond

MCKESSON financial ratios help investors to determine whether MCKESSON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MCKESSON with respect to the benefits of owning MCKESSON security.