Telecom Italia Capital Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 97.17
| 87927VAR9 | 102.55 0.68 0.66% |
Telecom |
Telecom Target Price Odds to finish below 97.17
The tendency of Telecom Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 97.17 or more in 90 days |
| 102.55 | 90 days | 97.17 | about 27.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telecom to drop to 97.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.15 (This Telecom Italia Capital probability density function shows the probability of Telecom Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telecom Italia Capital price to stay between 97.17 and its current price of 102.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Telecom has a beta of 0.8. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Telecom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Telecom Italia Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Telecom Italia Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Telecom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telecom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telecom Italia Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Telecom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telecom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telecom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telecom Italia Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telecom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Telecom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telecom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telecom Italia Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telecom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The9 Establishes Another Joint Venture to Operate AI Mobile Advertising Business |
Telecom Technical Analysis
Telecom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telecom Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telecom Italia Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telecom Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telecom Predictive Forecast Models
Telecom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telecom's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telecom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telecom Italia Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telecom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telecom Italia Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telecom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The9 Establishes Another Joint Venture to Operate AI Mobile Advertising Business |
Other Information on Investing in Telecom Bond
Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Telecom Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Telecom with respect to the benefits of owning Telecom security.