UNITED TECHNOLOGIES P Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 90.11

913017BT5   92.55  1.55  1.70%   
UNITED's future price is the expected price of UNITED instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of UNITED TECHNOLOGIES P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out UNITED Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, UNITED Correlation, UNITED Hype Analysis, UNITED Volatility, UNITED History as well as UNITED Performance.
  
Please specify UNITED's target price for which you would like UNITED odds to be computed.

UNITED Target Price Odds to finish below 90.11

The tendency of UNITED Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  90.11  or more in 90 days
 92.55 90 days 90.11 
about 39.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UNITED to drop to  90.11  or more in 90 days from now is about 39.03 (This UNITED TECHNOLOGIES P probability density function shows the probability of UNITED Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UNITED TECHNOLOGIES price to stay between  90.11  and its current price of 92.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UNITED TECHNOLOGIES P has a beta of -0.24. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding UNITED are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, UNITED TECHNOLOGIES P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UNITED TECHNOLOGIES P has an alpha of 0.0427, implying that it can generate a 0.0427 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   UNITED Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for UNITED

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UNITED TECHNOLOGIES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.8792.5593.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.2276.90101.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.6291.3091.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.3690.1195.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UNITED. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UNITED's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UNITED's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UNITED TECHNOLOGIES.

UNITED Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UNITED is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UNITED's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UNITED TECHNOLOGIES P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UNITED within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

UNITED Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UNITED for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UNITED TECHNOLOGIES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
UNITED TECHNOLOGIES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

UNITED Technical Analysis

UNITED's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UNITED Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UNITED TECHNOLOGIES P. In general, you should focus on analyzing UNITED Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

UNITED Predictive Forecast Models

UNITED's time-series forecasting models is one of many UNITED's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UNITED's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about UNITED TECHNOLOGIES

Checking the ongoing alerts about UNITED for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UNITED TECHNOLOGIES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
UNITED TECHNOLOGIES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in UNITED Bond

UNITED financial ratios help investors to determine whether UNITED Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UNITED with respect to the benefits of owning UNITED security.