Us Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.41

USEG Stock  USD 1.49  0.06  3.87%   
US Energy's future price is the expected price of US Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of US Energy Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out US Energy Backtesting, US Energy Valuation, US Energy Correlation, US Energy Hype Analysis, US Energy Volatility, US Energy History as well as US Energy Performance.
  
At this time, US Energy's Price Cash Flow Ratio is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. Please specify US Energy's target price for which you would like US Energy odds to be computed.

US Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 1.41

The tendency of USEG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 1.41  or more in 90 days
 1.49 90 days 1.41 
about 37.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Energy to drop to $ 1.41  or more in 90 days from now is about 37.94 (This US Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of USEG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of US Energy Corp price to stay between $ 1.41  and its current price of $1.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Energy has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, US Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding US Energy Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally US Energy Corp has an alpha of 0.833, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   US Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for US Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of US Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.587.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.737.31
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.282.502.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.01
Details

US Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.83
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

US Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of US Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
US Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
US Energy Corp may become a speculative penny stock
US Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
US Energy Corp currently holds 5.79 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. US Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about US Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 32.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.77 M.
About 54.0% of US Energy outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from oilprice.com: Industry Pushes Back on LNG Export Pause

US Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USEG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential US Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 M

US Energy Technical Analysis

US Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USEG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of US Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing USEG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

US Energy Predictive Forecast Models

US Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many US Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary US Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about US Energy Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about US Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for US Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
US Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
US Energy Corp may become a speculative penny stock
US Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
US Energy Corp currently holds 5.79 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. US Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about US Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 32.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.77 M.
About 54.0% of US Energy outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from oilprice.com: Industry Pushes Back on LNG Export Pause
When determining whether US Energy Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze US Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact US Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding USEG Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Energy. If investors know USEG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about US Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
8.237
Earnings Share
(1.30)
Revenue Per Share
0.828
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.39)
Return On Assets
(0.24)
The market value of US Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USEG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.