Us Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.65
| USEG Stock | USD 1.62 0.08 5.19% |
USEG |
US Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 17.65
The tendency of USEG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.65 or more in 90 days |
| 1.62 | 90 days | 17.65 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Energy to move over $ 17.65 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This US Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of USEG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of US Energy Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 1.62 and $ 17.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.12 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Energy has a beta of 0.6. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, US Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding US Energy Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally US Energy Corp has an alpha of 0.906, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). US Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for US Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of US Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
US Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
US Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of US Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| US Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| US Energy Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| US Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| US Energy Corp currently holds 5.79 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. US Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about US Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 32.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.77 M. | |
| About 54.0% of US Energy outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Ryan Smith of 300 shares of US Energy at 1.52 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
US Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USEG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential US Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
US Energy Technical Analysis
US Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USEG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of US Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing USEG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
US Energy Predictive Forecast Models
US Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many US Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary US Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about US Energy Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about US Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for US Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| US Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| US Energy Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| US Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| US Energy Corp currently holds 5.79 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. US Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about US Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 32.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.77 M. | |
| About 54.0% of US Energy outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Ryan Smith of 300 shares of US Energy at 1.52 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out US Energy Backtesting, US Energy Valuation, US Energy Correlation, US Energy Hype Analysis, US Energy Volatility, US Energy History as well as US Energy Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Energy. If investors know USEG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about US Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.237 | Earnings Share (1.30) | Revenue Per Share 0.828 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) | Return On Assets (0.24) |
The market value of US Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USEG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.