Vamos Locao (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.38

VAMO3 Stock   5.30  0.07  1.30%   
Vamos Locao's future price is the expected price of Vamos Locao instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vamos Locao de performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vamos Locao Backtesting, Vamos Locao Valuation, Vamos Locao Correlation, Vamos Locao Hype Analysis, Vamos Locao Volatility, Vamos Locao History as well as Vamos Locao Performance.
  
Please specify Vamos Locao's target price for which you would like Vamos Locao odds to be computed.

Vamos Locao Target Price Odds to finish over 5.38

The tendency of Vamos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.38  or more in 90 days
 5.30 90 days 5.38 
about 85.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vamos Locao to move over  5.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.62 (This Vamos Locao de probability density function shows the probability of Vamos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vamos Locao de price to stay between its current price of  5.30  and  5.38  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vamos Locao has a beta of 0.12. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vamos Locao average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vamos Locao de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vamos Locao de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vamos Locao Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vamos Locao

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vamos Locao de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.395.308.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.914.827.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.825.738.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.335.595.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vamos Locao. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vamos Locao's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vamos Locao's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vamos Locao de.

Vamos Locao Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vamos Locao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vamos Locao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vamos Locao de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vamos Locao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Vamos Locao Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vamos Locao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vamos Locao de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vamos Locao de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vamos Locao de has accumulated about 138.27 M in cash with (4.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Vamos Locao Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vamos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vamos Locao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vamos Locao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding969 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.8 B

Vamos Locao Technical Analysis

Vamos Locao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vamos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vamos Locao de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vamos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vamos Locao Predictive Forecast Models

Vamos Locao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vamos Locao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vamos Locao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vamos Locao de

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vamos Locao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vamos Locao de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vamos Locao de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vamos Locao de has accumulated about 138.27 M in cash with (4.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Vamos Stock Analysis

When running Vamos Locao's price analysis, check to measure Vamos Locao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vamos Locao is operating at the current time. Most of Vamos Locao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vamos Locao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vamos Locao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vamos Locao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.