Inflation Protected Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.71
| VCTPX Fund | USD 8.65 0.02 0.23% |
Inflation |
Inflation Protected Target Price Odds to finish below 8.71
The tendency of Inflation Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.71 after 90 days |
| 8.65 | 90 days | 8.71 | about 53.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inflation Protected to stay under $ 8.71 after 90 days from now is about 53.27 (This Inflation Protected Fund probability density function shows the probability of Inflation Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inflation Protected price to stay between its current price of $ 8.65 and $ 8.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Inflation Protected Fund has a beta of -0.0057. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Inflation Protected are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Inflation Protected Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Inflation Protected Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Inflation Protected Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inflation Protected
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inflation Protected. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inflation Protected Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inflation Protected is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inflation Protected's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inflation Protected Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inflation Protected within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0057 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.57 |
Inflation Protected Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inflation Protected for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inflation Protected can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inflation Protected generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Inflation Protected keeps about 88.59% of its net assets in bonds |
Inflation Protected Technical Analysis
Inflation Protected's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inflation Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inflation Protected Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inflation Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inflation Protected Predictive Forecast Models
Inflation Protected's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inflation Protected's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inflation Protected's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inflation Protected
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inflation Protected for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inflation Protected help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inflation Protected generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Inflation Protected keeps about 88.59% of its net assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Inflation Mutual Fund
Inflation Protected financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inflation Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inflation with respect to the benefits of owning Inflation Protected security.
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