Wilmington Broad Market Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.62

WABMX Fund  USD 8.95  0.02  0.22%   
Wilmington Broad's future price is the expected price of Wilmington Broad instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilmington Broad Market performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilmington Broad Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wilmington Broad Correlation, Wilmington Broad Hype Analysis, Wilmington Broad Volatility, Wilmington Broad History as well as Wilmington Broad Performance.
  
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Wilmington Broad Target Price Odds to finish below 8.62

The tendency of Wilmington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.62  or more in 90 days
 8.95 90 days 8.62 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmington Broad to drop to $ 8.62  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wilmington Broad Market probability density function shows the probability of Wilmington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilmington Broad Market price to stay between $ 8.62  and its current price of $8.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wilmington Broad Market has a beta of -0.0347. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wilmington Broad are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wilmington Broad Market is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wilmington Broad Market has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wilmington Broad Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilmington Broad

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington Broad Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.658.959.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.668.969.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.709.009.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.878.938.98
Details

Wilmington Broad Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmington Broad is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmington Broad's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmington Broad Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmington Broad within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.57

Wilmington Broad Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmington Broad for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmington Broad Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmington Broad generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wilmington Broad Market generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.

Wilmington Broad Technical Analysis

Wilmington Broad's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmington Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmington Broad Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmington Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilmington Broad Predictive Forecast Models

Wilmington Broad's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmington Broad's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmington Broad's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilmington Broad Market

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmington Broad for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmington Broad Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmington Broad generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wilmington Broad Market generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Wilmington Mutual Fund

Wilmington Broad financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmington with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmington Broad security.
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