Western Acquisition Ventures Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.4
| WAVS Stock | USD 10.75 0.24 2.18% |
Western |
Western Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 10.4
The tendency of Western Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.40 or more in 90 days |
| 10.75 | 90 days | 10.40 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Western Acquisition to drop to $ 10.40 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Western Acquisition Ventures probability density function shows the probability of Western Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Western Acquisition price to stay between $ 10.40 and its current price of $10.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.81 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Western Acquisition has a beta of 0.11. This entails as returns on the market go up, Western Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Western Acquisition Ventures will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Western Acquisition Ventures has an alpha of 0.0519, implying that it can generate a 0.0519 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Western Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Western Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Western Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Western Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Western Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Western Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Western Acquisition Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Western Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Western Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Western Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Western Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Western Acquisition has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Western Acquisition Ventures currently holds 204.22 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.87, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Western Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Western Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Western Acquisition Ventures currently holds about 618.56 K in cash with (940.73 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Western Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 72.0% of Western Acquisition outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Western Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Western Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Western Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8651.00 |
Western Acquisition Technical Analysis
Western Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Western Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Western Acquisition Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Western Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Western Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Western Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Western Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Western Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Western Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Western Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Western Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Western Acquisition has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Western Acquisition Ventures currently holds 204.22 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.87, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Western Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Western Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Western Acquisition Ventures currently holds about 618.56 K in cash with (940.73 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Western Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 72.0% of Western Acquisition outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Western Stock Analysis
When running Western Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Western Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Western Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Western Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Western Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Western Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Western Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.