DB Physical (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1358.5
| XGLS Stock | 1,350 15.75 1.18% |
XGLS |
DB Physical Target Price Odds to finish over 1358.5
The tendency of XGLS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1,358 or more in 90 days |
| 1,350 | 90 days | 1,358 | about 71.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DB Physical to move over 1,358 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.74 (This DB Physical Gold probability density function shows the probability of XGLS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DB Physical Gold price to stay between its current price of 1,350 and 1,358 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DB Physical Gold has a beta of -0.0201. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DB Physical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DB Physical Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DB Physical Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DB Physical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DB Physical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DB Physical Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DB Physical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DB Physical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DB Physical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DB Physical Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DB Physical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0022 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 25.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
DB Physical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DB Physical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DB Physical Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DB Physical Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gold ETCs adjust valuation time for December auctions - Investing.com |
DB Physical Technical Analysis
DB Physical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XGLS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DB Physical Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing XGLS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DB Physical Predictive Forecast Models
DB Physical's time-series forecasting models is one of many DB Physical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DB Physical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DB Physical Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about DB Physical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DB Physical Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DB Physical Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gold ETCs adjust valuation time for December auctions - Investing.com |
Additional Tools for XGLS Stock Analysis
When running DB Physical's price analysis, check to measure DB Physical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DB Physical is operating at the current time. Most of DB Physical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DB Physical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DB Physical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DB Physical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.