Auxly Cannabis Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.015
| XLY Stock | CAD 0.04 0.01 16.67% |
Auxly |
Auxly Cannabis Target Price Odds to finish over 0.015
The tendency of Auxly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 0.01 in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.01 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auxly Cannabis to stay above C$ 0.01 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Auxly Cannabis Group probability density function shows the probability of Auxly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Auxly Cannabis Group price to stay between C$ 0.01 and its current price of C$0.035 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Auxly Cannabis has a beta of 0.21. This entails as returns on the market go up, Auxly Cannabis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Auxly Cannabis Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Auxly Cannabis Group has an alpha of 0.3601, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Auxly Cannabis Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Auxly Cannabis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auxly Cannabis Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Auxly Cannabis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auxly Cannabis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auxly Cannabis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auxly Cannabis Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auxly Cannabis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Auxly Cannabis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Auxly Cannabis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Auxly Cannabis Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Auxly Cannabis Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Auxly Cannabis Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Auxly Cannabis Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 101.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.29 M. | |
| About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Auxly Cannabis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Auxly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Auxly Cannabis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Auxly Cannabis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 991 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.3 M |
Auxly Cannabis Technical Analysis
Auxly Cannabis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auxly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auxly Cannabis Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auxly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Auxly Cannabis Predictive Forecast Models
Auxly Cannabis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Auxly Cannabis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auxly Cannabis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Auxly Cannabis Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Auxly Cannabis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Auxly Cannabis Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Auxly Cannabis Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Auxly Cannabis Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Auxly Cannabis Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 101.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.29 M. | |
| About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Auxly Stock
Auxly Cannabis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Auxly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Auxly with respect to the benefits of owning Auxly Cannabis security.