Yanzhou Coal (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.78
| YZC Stock | EUR 10.60 0.00 0.00% |
Yanzhou |
Yanzhou Coal Target Price Odds to finish below 7.78
The tendency of Yanzhou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 7.78 or more in 90 days |
| 10.60 | 90 days | 7.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yanzhou Coal to drop to € 7.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Yanzhou Coal Mining probability density function shows the probability of Yanzhou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yanzhou Coal Mining price to stay between € 7.78 and its current price of €10.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yanzhou Coal Mining has a beta of -0.26. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yanzhou Coal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yanzhou Coal Mining is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yanzhou Coal Mining has an alpha of 0.126, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Yanzhou Coal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yanzhou Coal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yanzhou Coal Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yanzhou Coal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yanzhou Coal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yanzhou Coal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yanzhou Coal Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yanzhou Coal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Yanzhou Coal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yanzhou Coal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yanzhou Coal Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yanzhou Coal Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Yanzhou Coal Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has €75.05 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing |
Yanzhou Coal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yanzhou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yanzhou Coal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yanzhou Coal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 B |
Yanzhou Coal Technical Analysis
Yanzhou Coal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yanzhou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yanzhou Coal Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yanzhou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yanzhou Coal Predictive Forecast Models
Yanzhou Coal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yanzhou Coal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yanzhou Coal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yanzhou Coal Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yanzhou Coal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yanzhou Coal Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yanzhou Coal Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Yanzhou Coal Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has €75.05 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing |
Other Information on Investing in Yanzhou Stock
Yanzhou Coal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yanzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yanzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Yanzhou Coal security.