China Express (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

002928 Stock   8.44  0.06  0.72%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding China Express Airlines is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides China Express buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002928 positions.
  
Check out China Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards China Express Airlines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute China Express Buy or Sell Advice

The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Express Airlines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Express Airlines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Express' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell China ExpressBuy China Express
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon China Express Airlines has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1654, Jensen Alpha of 0.5571, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1108, Sortino Ratio of 0.2305 and Treynor Ratio of 1.25
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on China Express Airlines. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure China Express is not overpriced, please confirm all China Express Airlines fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

China Express Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

China Express appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 5.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (964.98 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.25 B).
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dongfeng Motor Group Stock Passes Above Fifty Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat

China Express Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of China Express' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Express' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Express daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Express Airlines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Express returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Express.
Mean Return
0.63
Value At Risk
-3.65
Potential Upside
8.02
Standard Deviation
3.05
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Express historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

China Express Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Borrowings629.6M(285.1M)1.0B(1.8B)(1.7B)(1.6B)
Capital Expenditures1.1B756.1M1.8B351.6M541.3M896.1M
Change To Netincome267.5M127.5M440.1M1.0B1.2B1.2B
Change To Inventory(15.3M)(24.0M)(26.8M)(32.9M)(34.6M)(32.9M)
Investments75M49.7M(90K)(306.5M)(541.0M)(514.0M)
Change In Cash532.9M187.8M(117.3M)307.8M56.5M53.6M
Depreciation321.9M362.0M936.8M1.1B1.3B636.7M
Dividends Paid153.7M168.0M189.3M168.4M203.7M148.2M
Net Income502.2M612.9M(98.7M)(2.0B)(965.0M)(916.7M)
End Period Cash Flow1.2B1.4B1.3B1.6B1.6B1.2B
Free Cash Flow(73.5M)251.6M(893.8M)(35.0M)780.9M820.0M
Other Non Cash Items324.3M314.8M517.3M940.4M661.3M520.9M

China Express Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Express or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Express' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
3.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

China Express Volatility Alert

China Express Airlines currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.16 and Jensen Alpha of 0.56. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Express' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Express' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

China Express Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing China Express' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Express' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Express and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Express or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Express' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Express by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare China Express to competition
FundamentalsChina ExpressPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0116-0.31
Return On Asset0.0162-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.84 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.28 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders49.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions15.52 %39.21 %
Price To Book3.18 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.60 X11.42 X
Revenue5.15 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(1.25 B)27.38 B
EBITDA724.76 M3.9 B
Net Income(964.98 M)570.98 M
Total Debt2.08 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.67 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.32 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.03 X3.12 X
Target Price9.95
Number Of Employees5.45 K18.84 K
Beta0.7-0.15
Market Capitalization10.34 B19.03 B
Total Asset18.18 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.61 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(1.68 B)1.48 B
Net Asset18.18 B

China Express Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About China Express Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell China Express Airlines? Buying financial instruments such as China Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Makers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Express financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Express security.