Alcoa Corp (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 185 Stock | EUR 35.30 0.40 1.12% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 185 positions.
Check out Alcoa Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Alcoa Stock please use our How to Invest in Alcoa Corp guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alcoa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alcoa Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Alcoa |
Execute Alcoa Corp Buy or Sell Advice
The Alcoa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alcoa Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alcoa Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alcoa Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Alcoa Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alcoa Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (102 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.31 B. | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Alcoa Corp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alcoa Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alcoa Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alcoa Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alcoa Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alcoa Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alcoa Corp.
| Mean Return | 0.25 | Value At Risk | -4.92 | Potential Upside | 7.15 | Standard Deviation | 3.29 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alcoa Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alcoa Corp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alcoa Corp or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alcoa Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alcoa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Alcoa Corp Volatility Alert
Alcoa Corp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alcoa Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alcoa Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alcoa Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alcoa Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alcoa Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alcoa Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alcoa Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alcoa Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alcoa Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alcoa Corp to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alcoa Corp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0059 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0593 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.83 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 178.35 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.95 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 84.55 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 20.23 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.53 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.54 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 12.45 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.31 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.45 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (102 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 834 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.49 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.81 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 28.80 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.51 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 28.68 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 822 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.51) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 53.12 | |
| Number Of Employees | 13.1 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.46 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.44 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 14.78 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 2.4 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 14.78 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.4 |
Alcoa Corp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alcoa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alcoa Corp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alcoa Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Alcoa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Alcoa Stock
When determining whether Alcoa Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alcoa Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alcoa Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alcoa Corp Stock:Check out Alcoa Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Alcoa Stock please use our How to Invest in Alcoa Corp guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.