Changchun Faway (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600742 Stock   9.43  0.10  1.07%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Changchun Faway Automobile is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Changchun Faway buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600742 positions.
  
Check out Changchun Faway Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Changchun and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Changchun Faway Automobile. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Changchun Faway Buy or Sell Advice

The Changchun recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Changchun Faway Automobile. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Changchun Faway Automobile or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Changchun Faway's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Changchun FawayBuy Changchun Faway
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Changchun Faway Automobile has a Mean Deviation of 1.74, Semi Deviation of 1.95, Standard Deviation of 2.32, Variance of 5.36, Downside Variance of 5.74 and Semi Variance of 3.81
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Changchun Faway Auto. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Changchun Faway is not overpriced, please confirm all Changchun Faway Auto fundamentals, including its profit margin, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Changchun Faway Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Changchun Faway Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Zhejiang Jingu Company Limiteds Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25 percent - Simply Wall St

Changchun Faway Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Changchun Faway's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Changchun Faway's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Changchun Faway daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Changchun Faway Automobile price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Changchun Faway returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Changchun Faway.
Mean Return
0.36
Value At Risk
-3.15
Potential Upside
3.88
Standard Deviation
2.32
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Changchun Faway historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Changchun Faway Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid324.0M108.5M204.5M206.7M189.6M117.2M
Capital Expenditures727.6M670.1M653.4M921.7M763.5M801.7M
Net Income535.8M617.3M658.9M544.0M520.5M386.2M
Change To Inventory(76.6M)127.1M22.6M(69.6M)86.4M90.7M
Investments(2M)(227.3M)(120.5M)(1.1B)(254.8M)(267.5M)
Change In Cash545.6M2.2B1.2B(167.8M)1.6B1.7B
Net Borrowings(207.0M)66.5M(63.5M)(40M)(36M)(34.2M)
Depreciation333.3M559.7M618.1M667.4M718.3M468.2M
Change To Netincome(326.4M)(111.1M)(61.3M)(452.9M)(520.8M)(546.9M)
End Period Cash Flow1.7B3.9B5.2B5.0B6.6B3.7B
Free Cash Flow546.2M2.5B1.6B(177.5M)1.4B851.6M
Other Non Cash Items20.5M27.6M27.1M(48.8M)(39.5M)(37.5M)

Changchun Faway Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Changchun Faway or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Changchun Faway's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Changchun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.54
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Changchun Faway Volatility Alert

Changchun Faway Automobile currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Changchun Faway's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Changchun Faway's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Changchun Faway Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Changchun Faway's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Changchun Faway's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Changchun Faway and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Changchun Faway or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Changchun Faway's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Changchun Faway by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Changchun Faway to competition
FundamentalsChangchun FawayPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0725-0.31
Return On Asset0.0108-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation480.75 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding743.06 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders45.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.90 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.83 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.35 X11.42 X
Revenue20.77 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.98 B27.38 B
EBITDA997.03 M3.9 B
Net Income520.53 M570.98 M
Total Debt95.26 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share11.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.12 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.66 X3.12 X
Target Price21.0
Number Of Employees14.7 K18.84 K
Beta0.57-0.15
Market Capitalization7.01 B19.03 B
Total Asset22.32 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.16 B9.33 B
Working Capital2.73 B1.48 B
Net Asset22.32 B
Last Dividend Paid0.25

Changchun Faway Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Changchun . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Changchun Faway Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Changchun Faway Automobile? Buying financial instruments such as Changchun Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Changchun Stock

Changchun Faway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Changchun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Changchun with respect to the benefits of owning Changchun Faway security.