Sichuan Changhong (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600839 Stock   10.78  0.27  2.44%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sichuan Changhong Electric is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Sichuan Changhong buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600839 positions.
  
Check out Sichuan Changhong Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sichuan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Sichuan Changhong Electric. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Sichuan Changhong Buy or Sell Advice

The Sichuan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sichuan Changhong Electric. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sichuan Changhong Electric or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sichuan Changhong's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Sichuan ChanghongBuy Sichuan Changhong
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Sichuan Changhong Electric has a Mean Deviation of 4.41, Semi Deviation of 3.95, Standard Deviation of 5.62, Variance of 31.56, Downside Variance of 22.75 and Semi Variance of 15.64
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Sichuan Changhong and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Sichuan Changhong is not overpriced, please validate all Sichuan Changhong fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, and the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Sichuan Changhong Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Sichuan Changhong is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sichuan Changhong appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sichuan Changhong is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sichuan Changhong Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sichuan Changhong's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sichuan Changhong's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sichuan Changhong daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sichuan Changhong Electric price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sichuan Changhong returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sichuan Changhong.
Mean Return
1.31
Value At Risk
-8.25
Potential Upside
10.02
Standard Deviation
5.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sichuan Changhong historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sichuan Changhong Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid1.5B1.1B787.5M846.6M1.0B599.0M
Capital Expenditures1.5B814.7M1.1B1.0B1.6B1.1B
Net Income60.6M45.4M284.6M467.9M687.7M722.1M
Change To Inventory(1.8B)(1.8B)322.4M(1.6B)(879.7M)(835.7M)
Investments960.5M(853.9M)174.3M(4.7B)747.0M784.4M
Change In Cash2.7B1.1B375.3M(4.7B)5.6B5.9B
Net Borrowings1.6B2.5B1.8B(2.4B)(2.7B)(2.6B)
Depreciation1.1B1.1B1.2B1.2B1.3B1.2B
Change To Netincome556.6M415.1M423.5M902.7M1.0B611.2M
End Period Cash Flow17.9B19.0B19.4B14.7B20.4B18.2B
Free Cash Flow44.3M572.7M3.6B2.3B1.3B1.7B
Other Non Cash Items352.6M27.1M(34.2M)70.2M(44.7M)(42.5M)

Sichuan Changhong Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sichuan Changhong or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sichuan Changhong's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sichuan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
5.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Sichuan Changhong Volatility Alert

Sichuan Changhong Electric shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sichuan Changhong's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sichuan Changhong's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Sichuan Changhong Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sichuan Changhong's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sichuan Changhong's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sichuan Changhong and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sichuan Changhong or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sichuan Changhong's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sichuan Changhong by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sichuan Changhong to competition
FundamentalsSichuan ChanghongPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0714-0.31
Return On Asset0.0103-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation43.65 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.62 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders25.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.52 %39.21 %
Price To Book3.50 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.48 X11.42 X
Revenue97.46 B9.43 B
Gross Profit9.58 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.65 B3.9 B
Net Income687.7 M570.98 M
Total Debt12.47 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share3.08 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.86 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.12 X3.12 X
Target Price3.08
Number Of Employees45.66 K18.84 K
Beta-0.014-0.15
Market Capitalization49.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset94.4 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.63 B9.33 B
Working Capital5.42 B1.48 B
Net Asset94.4 B

Sichuan Changhong Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sichuan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Sichuan Changhong Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sichuan Changhong Electric? Buying financial instruments such as Sichuan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Sichuan Stock

Sichuan Changhong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sichuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sichuan with respect to the benefits of owning Sichuan Changhong security.