AUPU Home (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

603551 Stock   11.23  0.19  1.72%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AUPU Home Style is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides AUPU Home buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 603551 positions.
  
Check out AUPU Home Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AUPU and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards AUPU Home Style. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute AUPU Home Buy or Sell Advice

The AUPU recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AUPU Home Style. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AUPU Home Style or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AUPU Home's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AUPU HomeBuy AUPU Home
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon AUPU Home Style has a Mean Deviation of 1.85, Semi Deviation of 1.94, Standard Deviation of 2.4, Variance of 5.76, Downside Variance of 4.26 and Semi Variance of 3.78
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on AUPU Home Style and to analyze the company potential to grow next year. To make sure AUPU Home is not overpriced, please confirm all AUPU Home Style fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to sales, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to book .

AUPU Home Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

AUPU Home Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AUPU Home's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AUPU Home's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AUPU Home daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AUPU Home Style price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AUPU Home returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AUPU Home.
Mean Return
0.23
Value At Risk
-3.13
Potential Upside
3.98
Standard Deviation
2.40
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AUPU Home historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AUPU Home Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(11.9M)(55.6M)(107.6M)55.7M27.9M29.3M
Investments(3.5M)15.9M(46.2M)(56.9M)6.1M8.3M
Change In Cash96.9M617.0M(103.7M)(46.5M)150.8M105.4M
Depreciation33.0M43.4M55.6M62.0M61.6M44.7M
Dividends Paid79.2M132.0M162.2M237.0M291.3M211.7M
Capital Expenditures130.1M92.2M96.2M61.1M11.4M10.9M
Net Income267.6M188.9M31.1M240.1M309.3M187.8M
End Period Cash Flow643.2M1.3B1.2B1.1B1.3B960.4M
Change To Netincome698.7K11.3M193.3M60.0M69.0M38.2M
Free Cash Flow165.9M160.8M148.1M361.2M410.7M234.1M
Other Non Cash Items3.3M6.2M7.3M4.4M7.5M5.3M

AUPU Home Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AUPU Home or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AUPU Home's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AUPU stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
2.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

AUPU Home Volatility Alert

AUPU Home Style currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AUPU Home's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AUPU Home's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AUPU Home Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AUPU Home's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AUPU Home's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AUPU Home and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AUPU Home or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AUPU Home's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AUPU Home by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AUPU Home to competition
FundamentalsAUPU HomePeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0824-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.63 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding401.34 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders72.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions8.16 %39.21 %
Price To Book3.34 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.36 X11.42 X
Revenue2 B9.43 B
Gross Profit833.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA338.19 M3.9 B
Net Income309.32 M570.98 M
Total Debt2.05 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share3.63 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations422.11 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.76 X3.12 X
Target Price12.24
Number Of Employees1.02 K18.84 K
Beta0.21-0.15
Market Capitalization4.51 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.49 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings409.25 M9.33 B
Working Capital867.4 M1.48 B
Net Asset2.49 B
Last Dividend Paid0.8

AUPU Home Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AUPU . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AUPU Home Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AUPU Home Style? Buying financial instruments such as AUPU Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in AUPU Stock

AUPU Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether AUPU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AUPU with respect to the benefits of owning AUPU Home security.