National Petroleum (Taiwan) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 9937 Stock | TWD 65.60 0.80 1.20% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding National Petroleum Co is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell National Petroleum Co given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for National Petroleum Co, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out National Petroleum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. National Petroleum Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
National |
Execute National Petroleum Buy or Sell Advice
The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National Petroleum Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National Petroleum Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National Petroleum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
National Petroleum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| National Petroleum Co has accumulated 247.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. National Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist National Petroleum until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National Petroleum's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National Petroleum's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 63.0% of National Petroleum shares are owned by insiders or employees |
National Petroleum Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of National Petroleum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National Petroleum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National Petroleum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National Petroleum Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National Petroleum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National Petroleum.
| Mean Return | -0.0009 | Value At Risk | -1.21 | Potential Upside | 1.69 | Standard Deviation | 0.87 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National Petroleum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
National Petroleum Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Petroleum or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Petroleum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
National Petroleum Volatility Alert
National Petroleum Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.04 and kurtosis of 2.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National Petroleum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National Petroleum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.National Petroleum Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing National Petroleum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National Petroleum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National Petroleum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National Petroleum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National Petroleum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare National Petroleum to competition |
| Fundamentals | National Petroleum | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0396 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 18.37 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 309.04 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 63.40 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 16.98 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.08 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.66 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 21.2 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.57 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.69 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 810.74 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 839.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.72 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 247.88 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.56 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.35 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 16.71 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.02 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.38 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 18 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.21 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 16.94 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.78 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.45 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (2.41 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 711 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 3.12 B | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | 41.8 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % |
National Petroleum Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About National Petroleum Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell National Petroleum Co? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for National Stock Analysis
When running National Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure National Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of National Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.