Adverum Biotechnologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ADVM Stock  USD 6.88  0.24  3.61%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Adverum Biotechnologies is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Adverum Biotechnologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Adverum Biotechnologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Adverum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Adverum Biotechnologies guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Adverum and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Adverum Biotechnologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Adverum Biotechnologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Adverum recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Adverum Biotechnologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Adverum Biotechnologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Adverum Biotechnologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Adverum BiotechnologiesBuy Adverum Biotechnologies
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Adverum Biotechnologies has a Mean Deviation of 2.65, Semi Deviation of 3.73, Standard Deviation of 3.49, Variance of 12.21, Downside Variance of 14.42 and Semi Variance of 13.9
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Adverum Biotechnologies. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Adverum Biotechnologies is not overpriced, please confirm all Adverum Biotechnologies fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . Given that Adverum Biotechnologies has a price to earning of (2.10) X, we suggest you to validate Adverum Biotechnologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Adverum Biotechnologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Adverum Biotechnologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Adverum Biotechnologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (117.17 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (81.68 M).
Adverum Biotechnologies currently holds about 235.84 M in cash with (90.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.37.
Adverum Biotechnologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: Mizuho cuts Adverum price target to 16, maintains outperform

Adverum Biotechnologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Adverum Biotechnologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Adverum Biotechnologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Adverum Biotechnologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Adverum Biotechnologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Adverum Biotechnologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Adverum Biotechnologies.
Mean Return
0.06
Value At Risk
-6.81
Potential Upside
5.04
Standard Deviation
3.49
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Adverum Biotechnologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Adverum Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Adverum Biotechnologies, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Adverum Biotechnologies back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Logos Global Management Lp2024-09-30
416.7 K
State Street Corp2024-09-30
369.6 K
Pale Fire Capital Se2024-09-30
308.4 K
Soleus Capital Management, L.p.2024-09-30
287.2 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
234.7 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
206.7 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
176.1 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
173.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
155 K
Bml Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
2.3 M
Tcg Crossover Management, Llc2024-09-30
M
Note, although Adverum Biotechnologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Adverum Biotechnologies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(89.1M)(3.5M)(26.7M)34.2M6.0M5.1M
Free Cash Flow(68.4M)(91.1M)(123.0M)(119.9M)(91.7M)(87.1M)
Depreciation1.6M4.2M4.6M6.5M5.6M5.9M
Other Non Cash Items58K75K(25K)(51K)11.4M11.9M
Capital Expenditures19.2M11.8M15.1M11.8M808K767.6K
Net Income(64.5M)(117.5M)(145.5M)(154.5M)(117.2M)(123.0M)
End Period Cash Flow66.9M63.4M36.7M70.9M77.0M76.3M
Investments(48.8M)(268.3M)93.8M141.7M96.9M101.7M
Change To Netincome9.9M20.8M26.2M20.0M18.0M17.6M

Adverum Biotechnologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Adverum Biotechnologies or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Adverum Biotechnologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Adverum stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.59
σ
Overall volatility
3.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Adverum Biotechnologies Volatility Alert

Adverum Biotechnologies shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Adverum Biotechnologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Adverum Biotechnologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Adverum Biotechnologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Adverum Biotechnologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Adverum Biotechnologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Adverum Biotechnologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Adverum Biotechnologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Adverum Biotechnologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adverum Biotechnologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Adverum Biotechnologies to competition
FundamentalsAdverum BiotechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.76-0.31
Return On Asset-0.3-0.14
Operating Margin(29.22) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation63.14 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding20.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.67 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions79.15 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.53 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(2.10) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales143.12 X11.42 X
Revenue3.6 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(81.68 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(112.6 M)3.9 B
Net Income(117.17 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents235.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.37 X5.01 X
Total Debt75.04 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.43 %48.70 %
Current Ratio8.03 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(90.9 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.27 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.95) X3.12 X
Target Price29.71
Number Of Employees12118.84 K
Beta1.01-0.15
Market Capitalization143.12 M19.03 B
Total Asset173.01 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(919.78 M)9.33 B
Working Capital77.86 M1.48 B
Current Asset260.99 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities6.57 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Soparkar Peter of 450000 shares of Adverum Biotechnologies at 1.99 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Adverum Biotechnologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Adverum . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Adverum Biotechnologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Adverum Biotechnologies? Buying financial instruments such as Adverum Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Adverum Biotechnologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Adverum Biotechnologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Adverum Biotechnologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Adverum Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Adverum Biotechnologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Adverum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Adverum Biotechnologies guide.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adverum Biotechnologies. If investors know Adverum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adverum Biotechnologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.95)
Revenue Per Share
0.059
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.70)
Return On Assets
(0.30)
Return On Equity
(0.76)
The market value of Adverum Biotechnologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adverum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adverum Biotechnologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adverum Biotechnologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adverum Biotechnologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adverum Biotechnologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adverum Biotechnologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adverum Biotechnologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adverum Biotechnologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.