Alico Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ALCO Stock | USD 26.80 0.14 0.53% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alico Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Alico's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Alico Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alico and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alico Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Alico |
Execute Alico Buy or Sell Advice
The Alico recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alico Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alico Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alico's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Alico Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alico Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alico Inc currently holds about 6.87 M in cash with (6.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 11th of October 2024 Alico paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Alico, Inc. to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results on Monday, December ... |
Alico Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alico's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alico's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alico daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alico Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alico returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alico.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -3.23 | Potential Upside | 4.76 | Standard Deviation | 2.30 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alico historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alico Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Alico, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alico Inc back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 107.7 K | Boothbay Fund Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 94.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 69.1 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 60.2 K | Naples Global Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 58.1 K | Bard Associates Inc | 2024-09-30 | 54.7 K | Polar Asset Management Partners | 2024-09-30 | 51.6 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 41 K | Allen Investment Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 40.4 K | Gate City Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 770.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 472.3 K |
Alico Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (712K) | (2.5M) | (5.9M) | (26.4M) | (23.8M) | (22.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | (4.2M) | (18.8M) | (21K) | 2.8M | 2.5M | 2.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (21.1M) | (24.7M) | (14.3M) | (22.9M) | (26.3M) | (25.0M) | |
| Depreciation | (19.1M) | (18.4M) | 15.2M | 15.5M | 17.8M | 18.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (10K) | 62K | (14.5M) | (130K) | (149.5K) | (157.0K) | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.5M | 7.1M | 15.1M | 4.9M | 5.7M | 4.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 22.2M | 41.2M | 20.9M | 16.7M | 19.2M | 14.7M | |
| Net Income | 23.7M | 34.8M | 11.9M | 1.7M | 1.9M | 1.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 19.7M | 886K | 865K | 3.7M | 4.2M | 4.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | (7.7M) | (20.2M) | (32.4M) | (43.7M) | (39.4M) | (37.4M) | |
| Investments | 9.5M | (3.3M) | 22.5M | (4.1M) | (4.7M) | (4.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (13.6M) | (12.3M) | (24.9M) | (14.7M) | (13.2M) | (12.5M) |
Alico Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alico or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alico's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alico stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Alico Volatility Alert
Alico Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of 3.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alico's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alico's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alico Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alico's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alico's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alico and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alico or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alico's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alico by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alico to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alico | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.097 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0667 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.56 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.49) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 278.33 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.63 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 30.81 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 57.92 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 232.97 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.12 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.75 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.41 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 39.85 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.81 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 22.86 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.66 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.87 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.90 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 128.7 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 35.35 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (6.25 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.49 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.41 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 35.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 194 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.81 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 204.45 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 428.35 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 243.8 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 43.74 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 73.11 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by George Brokaw of 498 shares of Alico at 37.69 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alico Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alico . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alico Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alico Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Alico Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Alico in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Adviser Favorites Thematic Idea Now
Adviser Favorites
Financial advisors frequently recommend that individuals diversify their investment portfolios with a mix of different types of stocks. These can include blue-chip stocks, growth stocks, and dividend stocks. The Adviser Favorites theme has 17 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Adviser Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Alico Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alico. If investors know Alico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alico listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.352 | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share 3.41 | Revenue Per Share 6.089 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.868 |
The market value of Alico Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alico that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alico's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alico's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alico's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alico's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alico's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alico is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alico's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.