Axfood AB (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AXL1 Stock | EUR 20.43 0.51 2.56% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Axfood AB is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Axfood AB buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AXL1 positions.
Check out Axfood AB Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Axfood and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Axfood AB. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Axfood |
Execute Axfood AB Buy or Sell Advice
The Axfood recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Axfood AB. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Axfood AB or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Axfood AB's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Axfood AB Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Axfood AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Axfood AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Axfood AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Axfood AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Axfood to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Axfood AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Axfood AB Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Axfood AB's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Axfood AB's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Axfood AB daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Axfood AB price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Axfood AB returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Axfood AB.
| Mean Return | -0.22 | Value At Risk | -2.67 | Potential Upside | 2.77 | Standard Deviation | 1.95 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Axfood AB historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Axfood AB Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Axfood AB or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Axfood AB's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Axfood stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Axfood AB Volatility Alert
Axfood AB exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.48 and kurtosis of 6.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Axfood AB's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Axfood AB's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Axfood AB Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Axfood AB's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Axfood AB's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Axfood AB and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Axfood AB or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Axfood AB's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axfood AB by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Axfood AB to competition |
| Fundamentals | Axfood AB | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.39 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.071 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.15 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 215.8 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 51.59 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 23.60 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 25.05 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 9.65 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.84 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 73.47 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 10.08 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 5.72 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.36 B | 570.98 M |
| Debt To Equity | 1.67 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.68 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.15 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 5.93 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 7.41 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.14 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.9 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 28.62 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 2.0 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Net Asset | 28.62 B |
Axfood AB Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Axfood . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Axfood AB Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Axfood AB? Buying financial instruments such as Axfood Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Axfood Stock
Axfood AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Axfood Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Axfood with respect to the benefits of owning Axfood AB security.