Bumi Resources (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BUMI Stock  IDR 142.00  3.00  2.07%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Bumi Resources Tbk is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Bumi Resources' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Bumi Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bumi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Bumi Resources Tbk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Bumi Resources Buy or Sell Advice

The Bumi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bumi Resources Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bumi Resources Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bumi Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Bumi ResourcesBuy Bumi Resources
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Bumi Resources Tbk has a Mean Deviation of 3.51, Semi Deviation of 2.69, Standard Deviation of 5.01, Variance of 25.14, Downside Variance of 10.55 and Semi Variance of 7.25
Macroaxis provides advice on Bumi Resources Tbk to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Bumi Resources Tbk. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Bumi Resources is not overpriced, please confirm all Bumi Resources Tbk fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, revenue, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to sales .

Bumi Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Bumi Resources Tbk is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bumi Resources Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Bumi Resources Tbk has accumulated 194.09 M in total debt. Bumi Resources Tbk has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bumi Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bumi Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bumi Resources Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bumi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bumi Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Bumi Resources Tbk has accumulated about 51.91 M in cash with (74.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bumi Resources Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Bumi Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bumi Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bumi Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bumi Resources Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bumi Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bumi Resources.
Mean Return
0.74
Value At Risk
-4.79
Potential Upside
11.43
Standard Deviation
5.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bumi Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Bumi Resources Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bumi Resources or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bumi Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bumi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.62
σ
Overall volatility
5.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Bumi Resources Volatility Alert

Bumi Resources Tbk shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bumi Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bumi Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Bumi Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Bumi Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bumi Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bumi Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bumi Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bumi Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bumi Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Bumi Resources to competition
FundamentalsBumi ResourcesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.78-0.31
Return On Asset0.0343-0.14
Profit Margin0.27 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation73.62 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding371.32 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders68.36 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.54 %39.21 %
Price To Sales36,772 X11.42 X
Revenue1.01 B9.43 B
Gross Profit201.74 M27.38 B
EBITDA505.95 M3.9 B
Net Income168.02 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents51.91 M2.7 B
Total Debt194.09 M5.32 B
Current Ratio0.31 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(74.42 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share70.28 X3.12 X
Target Price0.3
Number Of Employees86418.84 K
Beta0.76-0.15
Market Capitalization51.61 T19.03 B
Total Asset4.22 B29.47 B
Net Asset4.22 B

Bumi Resources Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bumi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Bumi Resources Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Bumi Resources Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as Bumi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Bumi Stock

Bumi Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bumi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bumi with respect to the benefits of owning Bumi Resources security.