CF Industries (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

C4F Stock  EUR 84.54  0.76  0.91%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CF Industries Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides CF Industries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding C4F positions.
  
Check out CF Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as C4F and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. CF Industries Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute CF Industries Buy or Sell Advice

The C4F recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CF Industries Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CF Industries Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CF Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CF IndustriesBuy CF Industries
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon CF Industries Holdings has a Mean Deviation of 1.22, Semi Deviation of 1.51, Standard Deviation of 1.58, Variance of 2.49, Downside Variance of 3.07 and Semi Variance of 2.29
Macroaxis provides trade advice on CF Industries Holdings to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on CF Industries. Our advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure CF Industries Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all CF Industries Holdings fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

CF Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

CF Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

CF Industries Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of CF Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CF Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CF Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CF Industries Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CF Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CF Industries.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-2.31
Potential Upside
2.22
Standard Deviation
1.58
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CF Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

CF Industries Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CF Industries or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CF Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a C4F stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

CF Industries Volatility Alert

CF Industries Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.69 and kurtosis of 0.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CF Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CF Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

CF Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing CF Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CF Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CF Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CF Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CF Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CF Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare CF Industries to competition
FundamentalsCF IndustriesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.57-0.31
Return On Asset0.27-0.14
Profit Margin0.30 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.50 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation19.34 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding195.77 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.43 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.06 %39.21 %
Price To Earning23.77 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.35 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.55 X11.42 X
Revenue11.19 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.86 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.28 B3.9 B
Net Income3.35 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents858 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.93 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.96 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity85.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.43 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share25.82 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.85 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share15.44 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.68 X4.89 X
Target Price60.03
Number Of Employees2.7 K18.84 K
Beta1.05-0.15
Market Capitalization15.66 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.31 B29.47 B
Z Score3.08.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return2.77 %
Net Asset13.31 B

CF Industries Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as C4F . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About CF Industries Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell CF Industries Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as C4F Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having CF Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in C4F Stock

When determining whether CF Industries Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze CF Industries' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CF Industries' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding C4F Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CF Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CF Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CF Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CF Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.