China Southern Airlines Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CHKIF Stock | USD 0.45 0.01 2.17% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding China Southern Airlines is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides China Southern buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CHKIF positions.
Check out China Southern Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. China Southern Airlines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
China |
Execute China Southern Buy or Sell Advice
The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Southern Airlines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Southern Airlines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Southern's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
China Southern Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| China Southern had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| China Southern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| China Southern Airlines has accumulated 38.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.88, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. China Southern Airlines has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist China Southern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Southern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Southern Airlines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Southern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 101.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.1 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.62 B). | |
| About 63.0% of China Southern shares are held by company insiders |
China Southern Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of China Southern's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Southern's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Southern daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Southern Airlines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Southern returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Southern.
| Mean Return | 0.69 | Value At Risk | -7.5 | Potential Upside | 10.00 | Standard Deviation | 5.95 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Southern historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
China Southern Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Southern or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Southern's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
China Southern Volatility Alert
China Southern Airlines exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.33 and kurtosis of 8.27. China Southern Airlines is a potential penny stock. Although China Southern may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in China Southern Airlines. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on China instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.China Southern Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing China Southern's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Southern's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Southern and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Southern or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Southern's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Southern by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare China Southern to competition |
| Fundamentals | China Southern | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.31 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0366 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.25) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.20) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 39.08 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 4.64 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 62.86 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 12.41 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 17.60 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.47 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 101.64 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (2.62 B) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 16.51 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (12.1 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 23.29 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 38.35 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.88 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.98 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.37 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.11) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.69 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 98.1 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.07 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 17.33 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 323.21 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 20.59 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (48.65 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 13.9 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 62.55 B | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % |
China Southern Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
About China Southern Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell China Southern Airlines? Buying financial instruments such as China Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet
China Southern financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Southern security.