Clearfield Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CLFD Stock  USD 30.60  0.62  2.07%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Clearfield is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Clearfield buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CLFD positions.
  
Check out Clearfield Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Clearfield Stock refer to our How to Trade Clearfield Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Clearfield and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Clearfield. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Clearfield Buy or Sell Advice

The Clearfield recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Clearfield. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Clearfield or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Clearfield's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ClearfieldBuy Clearfield
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Clearfield has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), Jensen Alpha of (0.42), Total Risk Alpha of (0.67) and Treynor Ratio of (0.15)
Our advice module can be used to complement Clearfield investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Clearfield is not overpriced, please confirm all Clearfield fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that Clearfield has a number of shares shorted of 1.08 M, we suggest you to validate Clearfield market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Clearfield Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Clearfield generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 166.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112.95 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Clearfield Inc Shares Up 2.79 percent on Nov 29

Clearfield Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Clearfield's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Clearfield's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Clearfield daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Clearfield price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Clearfield returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Clearfield.
Mean Return
-0.22
Value At Risk
-4.79
Potential Upside
3.15
Standard Deviation
2.61
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Clearfield historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Clearfield Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Segall Bryant & Hamill2024-09-30
249.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
243 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
238.6 K
Punch & Associates Inv Mgmt Inc2024-09-30
218.5 K
Divisadero Street Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
209 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
182.3 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
177.5 K
G2 Investment Partners Management Llc2024-09-30
152.7 K
Dana Investment Advisors Inc2024-09-30
123.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
955 K
Note, although Clearfield's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Clearfield Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(5.4M)(13.1M)(43.7M)(15.1M)32.0M33.6M
Change In Cash6.4M(3.2M)3.4M21.2M(21.7M)(20.6M)
Free Cash Flow4.8M8.9M(8.1M)11.6M12.7M13.3M
Depreciation2.4M2.3M3.4M6.1M7.4M7.8M
Other Non Cash Items(58.5K)202.3K(29K)(3.5M)(4.4M)(4.2M)
Capital Expenditures1.8M2.0M9.1M8.4M9.6M10.0M
Net Income7.3M20.3M49.4M32.5M(12.5M)(11.8M)
End Period Cash Flow16.4M13.2M16.7M37.8M16.2M12.4M
Investments1.8M(11.6M)17.1M(112.2M)(6.9M)(7.2M)
Change Receivables3.5M(1.4M)(9.2M)(24.2M)(21.8M)(20.7M)
Change To Netincome1.9M499.5K1.3M2.0M2.3M1.8M

Clearfield Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Clearfield or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Clearfield's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Clearfield stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.50
σ
Overall volatility
2.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Clearfield Volatility Alert

Clearfield exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.71 and kurtosis of -0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Clearfield's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Clearfield's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Clearfield Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Clearfield's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Clearfield's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Clearfield and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Clearfield or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Clearfield's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clearfield by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Clearfield to competition
FundamentalsClearfieldPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0422-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0433-0.14
Profit Margin(0.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.06) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation324.6 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.29 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders16.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions65.11 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.08 M4.71 M
Price To Earning36.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.59 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.62 X11.42 X
Revenue166.71 M9.43 B
Gross Profit112.95 M27.38 B
EBITDA(8.34 M)3.9 B
Net Income(12.45 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents22.45 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.62 X5.01 X
Total Debt18.36 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.25 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.10 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations22.22 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.50 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.85) X3.12 X
Target Price46.0
Beta1.36-0.15
Market Capitalization437.23 M19.03 B
Total Asset315.27 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings114.96 M9.33 B
Working Capital205.24 M1.48 B
Current Asset51.11 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities7.35 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 1948 shares by Cheryl Beranek of Clearfield at 28.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Clearfield Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Clearfield . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Clearfield Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Clearfield? Buying financial instruments such as Clearfield Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Clearfield in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Steel Works Etc theme has 54 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Steel Works Etc Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Clearfield is a strong investment it is important to analyze Clearfield's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Clearfield's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Clearfield Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Clearfield Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Clearfield Stock refer to our How to Trade Clearfield Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clearfield. If investors know Clearfield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clearfield listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.85)
Earnings Share
(0.85)
Revenue Per Share
11.432
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Clearfield is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clearfield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clearfield's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clearfield's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clearfield's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clearfield's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clearfield's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Clearfield is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clearfield's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.