Calumet Specialty Products Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CLMT Stock  USD 21.38  0.45  2.06%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Calumet Specialty Products is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Calumet Specialty Products given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Calumet Specialty Products, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Calumet Specialty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Calumet and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Calumet Specialty Products. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Calumet Specialty Buy or Sell Advice

The Calumet recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Calumet Specialty Products. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Calumet Specialty Products or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Calumet Specialty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Calumet SpecialtyBuy Calumet Specialty
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Calumet Specialty Products has a Mean Deviation of 2.3, Semi Deviation of 2.71, Standard Deviation of 3.22, Variance of 10.36, Downside Variance of 10.08 and Semi Variance of 7.33
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Calumet Specialty. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Calumet Specialty is not overpriced, please confirm all Calumet Specialty fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the ebitda and price to earnings to growth . Given that Calumet Specialty has a number of shares shorted of 5.37 M, we suggest you to validate Calumet Specialty Products market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Calumet Specialty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Calumet Specialty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Calumet Specialty Products currently holds 2.19 B in liabilities. Calumet Specialty has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Calumet Specialty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Calumet Specialty Products currently holds about 50.5 M in cash with (14.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investors.com: Calumet Shows Market Leadership With Jump To 91 RS Rating

Calumet Specialty Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Calumet Specialty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Calumet Specialty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Calumet Specialty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Calumet Specialty Products price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Calumet Specialty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Calumet Specialty.
Mean Return
0.44
Value At Risk
-4.62
Potential Upside
5.43
Standard Deviation
3.22
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Calumet Specialty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Calumet Stock Institutional Investors

The Calumet Specialty's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Calumet Specialty's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Bienville Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
341.1 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-09-30
318.2 K
Two Seas Capital Lp2024-09-30
310 K
Barnett & Co Inc2024-09-30
279.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
251.8 K
State Street Corp2024-09-30
243.3 K
Lpl Financial Corp2024-09-30
195.5 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
187.2 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2024-09-30
185.6 K
Wasserstein Debt Opportunities Management Lp2024-09-30
6.9 M
Adams Asset Advisors Llc2024-09-30
5.3 M
Note, although Calumet Specialty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Calumet Specialty Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory16.3M14M(27M)(190.8M)25.1M26.4M
Change In Cash(136.6M)90.3M12.5M(86.7M)(20.5M)(19.5M)
Free Cash Flow137M18.8M(126.9M)(435.6M)(286.7M)(272.4M)
Other Non Cash Items(28.4M)20.1M(75.7M)285.6M(199M)(189.1M)
Capital Expenditures54.9M44M82.9M536.2M271.8M145.5M
Net Income(43.6M)(149M)(260.1M)(171.8M)47.1M49.5M
End Period Cash Flow19.1M109.4M121.9M35.2M14.7M14.0M
Depreciation110.1M105.1M107.7M98.3M182.9M102.4M
Change To Netincome38.9M31.5M42.8M125.4M144.2M151.4M
Change Receivables(37M)25.5M(91.4M)(15M)(13.5M)(14.2M)
Net Borrowings(360.4M)105.7M88.9M(286.7M)(258.0M)(245.1M)
Investments5M(46.3M)(82.8M)(536M)(400.2M)(380.2M)

Calumet Specialty Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Calumet Specialty or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Calumet Specialty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Calumet stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
3.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Calumet Specialty Volatility Alert

Calumet Specialty Products shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Calumet Specialty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Calumet Specialty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Calumet Specialty Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Calumet Specialty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Calumet Specialty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Calumet Specialty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Calumet Specialty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Calumet Specialty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Calumet Specialty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Calumet Specialty to competition
FundamentalsCalumet SpecialtyPeer Average
Return On Equity-11.72-0.31
Return On Asset0.0167-0.14
Profit Margin(0.05) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.04) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.86 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding85.9 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders21.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions37.43 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.37 M4.71 M
Price To Earning286.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book19.32 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.44 X11.42 X
Revenue4.18 B9.43 B
Gross Profit370.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA418.2 M3.9 B
Net Income47.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents50.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.19 B5.32 B
Current Ratio0.60 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(7.83) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(14.9 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio7.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.82) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.71 X4.89 X
Target Price24.6
Number Of Employees1.58 K18.84 K
Beta1.91-0.15
Market Capitalization1.84 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.75 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(421.9 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(318 M)1.48 B
Current Asset609 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 8921 shares by Straumins Jennifer of Calumet Specialty subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Calumet Specialty Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Calumet . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Calumet Specialty Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Calumet Specialty Products? Buying financial instruments such as Calumet Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Calumet Specialty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Automobiles and Trucks Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Automobiles and Trucks theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Automobiles and Trucks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Calumet Stock Analysis

When running Calumet Specialty's price analysis, check to measure Calumet Specialty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calumet Specialty is operating at the current time. Most of Calumet Specialty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calumet Specialty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calumet Specialty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calumet Specialty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.