COG Financial (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| COG Stock | 0.92 0.01 1.10% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding COG Financial Services is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell COG Financial Services given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for COG Financial Services, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out COG Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as COG and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. COG Financial Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
COG |
Execute COG Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The COG recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on COG Financial Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in COG Financial Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute COG Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
COG Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| COG Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| COG Financial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| COG Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: COG Financial Services Reports Strong FY24 Growth - TipRanks |
COG Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of COG Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of COG Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of COG Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use COG Financial Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of COG Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for COG Financial.
| Mean Return | -0.04 | Value At Risk | -3.64 | Potential Upside | 4.44 | Standard Deviation | 2.32 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of COG Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
COG Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 8.7M | 59.8M | (18.4M) | 25.7M | 23.9M | 25.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 29.7M | 187.2M | 27.1M | 20.2M | 35.7M | 37.4M | |
| Depreciation | 8.3M | 10.5M | 11.3M | 13.6M | 17.8M | 18.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 64.6M | 206.7M | 4.2M | 10.1M | 11.3M | 19.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 33.1M | 3.7M | 8.1M | 11.6M | 10.7M | 14.4M | |
| Net Income | (10.0M) | (26.4M) | 19.7M | 8.1M | 12.9M | 13.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 34.7M | 94.5M | 76.1M | 101.8M | 125.7M | 132.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.6M | 14.4M | 24.3M | 24.6M | 16.7M | 8.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | (38K) | 21K | 216K | (241K) | 353K | 370.7K | |
| Investments | (23.5M) | 5.0M | (6.9M) | (36.2M) | (87.2M) | (82.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (11.9M) | (47.6M) | (28.6M) | 34.1M | 30.6M | 32.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 19.0M | 50.3M | 9.6M | 17.1M | 19.6M | 20.6M |
COG Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to COG Financial or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that COG Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a COG stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
COG Financial Volatility Alert
COG Financial Services exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.6 and kurtosis of 1.23. COG Financial Services is a potential penny stock. Although COG Financial may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in COG Financial Services. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on COG instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.COG Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing COG Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze COG Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between COG Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as COG Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of COG Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing COG Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare COG Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | COG Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0552 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 480.77 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 199.15 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 31.80 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 35.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.21 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.37 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 498.98 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 222.14 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 74.28 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 12.85 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 101.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 376.75 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.78 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 46.36 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.07 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 1.37 | |
| Beta | 0.76 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 183.22 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 687.12 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (117.79 M) | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.1 % | |
| Net Asset | 687.12 M | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.084 |
COG Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as COG . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
About COG Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell COG Financial Services? Buying financial instruments such as COG Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having COG Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Additional Tools for COG Stock Analysis
When running COG Financial's price analysis, check to measure COG Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COG Financial is operating at the current time. Most of COG Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COG Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COG Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COG Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.