Krispy Kreme Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DNUT Stock | USD 10.95 0.07 0.64% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Krispy Kreme is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Krispy Kreme given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Krispy Kreme, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Krispy Kreme Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Krispy Stock please use our How to Invest in Krispy Kreme guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Krispy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Krispy Kreme. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
Krispy |
Execute Krispy Kreme Buy or Sell Advice
The Krispy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Krispy Kreme. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Krispy Kreme or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Krispy Kreme's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Krispy Kreme Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Krispy Kreme generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Krispy Kreme has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Krispy Kreme currently holds 1.4 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Krispy Kreme has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Krispy Kreme's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.69 B. Net Loss for the year was (37.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 419.38 M. | |
| About 53.0% of Krispy Kreme shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 6th of November 2024 Krispy Kreme paid $ 0.035 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Blueshift Asset Management LLC Invests 348,000 in Krispy Kreme, Inc. |
Krispy Kreme Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Krispy Kreme's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Krispy Kreme's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Krispy Kreme daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Krispy Kreme price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Krispy Kreme returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Krispy Kreme.
| Mean Return | 0.01 | Value At Risk | -3.41 | Potential Upside | 3.30 | Standard Deviation | 2.01 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Krispy Kreme historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Krispy Stock Institutional Investors
The Krispy Kreme's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Krispy Kreme's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Samlyn Capital, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Woodline Partners Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Sunrise Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 872.1 K | Twinbeech Capital Lp | 2024-09-30 | 791.6 K | Gw&k Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 770.6 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 728.8 K | Bamco Inc | 2024-09-30 | 10.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 8.8 M |
Krispy Kreme Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (3.2M) | (15.4M) | (301K) | (12.5M) | 780K | 819K | |
| Change In Cash | (17.7M) | 2.0M | 1.7M | (3.5M) | 2.9M | 1.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 4.4M | (69.2M) | 21.7M | 28.1M | (75.9M) | (72.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 63.8M | 80.4M | 101.6M | 110.3M | 125.9M | 132.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 34.4M | 8.1M | 1.9M | 24.3M | 28.5M | 30.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 76.4M | 97.8M | 119.5M | 111.7M | 121.4M | 68.0M | |
| Net Income | (34.0M) | (60.9M) | (14.8M) | (8.8M) | (37.9M) | (36.0M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 35.5M | 37.5M | 39.2M | 35.7M | 38.6M | 36.9M | |
| Investments | (505K) | 1.1M | 1.0M | (121.5M) | (112.1M) | (106.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 89.4M | 62.6M | (452.0M) | 47.8M | 43.0M | 45.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.6M | 42K | 48.2M | 23.4M | 23.6M | 24.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 57.0M | 23.1M | 31.0M | 8.0M | 7.2M | 6.8M |
Krispy Kreme Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Krispy Kreme or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Krispy Kreme's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Krispy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Krispy Kreme Volatility Alert
Krispy Kreme currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.06 and Jensen Alpha of -0.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Krispy Kreme's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Krispy Kreme's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Krispy Kreme Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Krispy Kreme's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Krispy Kreme's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Krispy Kreme and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Krispy Kreme or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Krispy Kreme's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Krispy Kreme by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Krispy Kreme to competition |
| Fundamentals | Krispy Kreme | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0227 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0019 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.06) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.15 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 170 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 53.33 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 52.95 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 18.17 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 1.59 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.09 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.69 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 419.38 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 133.96 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (37.92 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 39.72 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.24 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.4 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.96 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.34 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.95 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 45.54 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.61 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.16 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 5.59 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 15.06 | |
| Number Of Employees | 22.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.39 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.87 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.24 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (278.99 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (352.01 M) | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % |
Note: Disposition of 9414 shares by David Skena of Krispy Kreme at 10.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Krispy Kreme Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Krispy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Krispy Kreme Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Krispy Kreme? Buying financial instruments such as Krispy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Krispy Stock Analysis
When running Krispy Kreme's price analysis, check to measure Krispy Kreme's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Krispy Kreme is operating at the current time. Most of Krispy Kreme's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Krispy Kreme's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Krispy Kreme's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Krispy Kreme to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.