Five Below Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FIVE Stock  USD 92.70  0.31  0.33%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Five Below is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Five Below buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FIVE positions.
  
Check out Five Below Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Five Stock refer to our How to Trade Five Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Five and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Five Below. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Five Below Buy or Sell Advice

The Five recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Five Below. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Five Below or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Five Below's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Five BelowBuy Five Below
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Five Below has a Mean Deviation of 2.55, Semi Deviation of 2.79, Standard Deviation of 3.25, Variance of 10.54, Downside Variance of 8.85 and Semi Variance of 7.79
Macroaxis provides advice on Five Below to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Five Below. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Five Below is not overpriced, please confirm all Five Below fundamentals, including its current ratio, beta, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share . Given that Five Below has a price to earning of 36.49 X, we urge you to verify Five Below market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Five Below Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Five Below had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Five Below is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Five Below has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Five Below Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates Should You Buy

Five Below Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Five Below's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Five Below's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Five Below daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Five Below price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Five Below returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Five Below.
Mean Return
0.30
Value At Risk
-3.8
Potential Upside
5.40
Standard Deviation
3.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Five Below historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Five Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Samlyn Capital, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
979.5 K
Fidelity International Ltd2024-06-30
905 K
Atreides Management, Lp2024-09-30
777 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
759.4 K
Giverny Capital Inc.2024-09-30
725.2 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
718.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
615.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
614.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
5.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
M
Note, although Five Below's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Five Below Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(80.4M)42.8M(173.8M)(72.6M)(56.9M)(59.8M)
Change In Cash(49.3M)66.3M(203.8M)267.4M(152.6M)(144.9M)
Free Cash Flow(25.3M)165.8M39.7M63.0M164.6M172.8M
Depreciation55.0M69.3M84.8M105.6M130.7M137.3M
Other Non Cash Items117K2.6M708K409K351K651.6K
Capital Expenditures212.3M200.2M288.2M252.0M335.1M351.8M
Net Income175.1M123.4M278.8M261.5M301.1M316.2M
End Period Cash Flow202.5M268.8M65.0M332.3M179.7M130.3M
Change To Netincome27.3M32.3M33.7M47.0M54.0M56.7M
Investments18.7M(86.7M)(465.6M)248.0M(556.3M)(528.5M)

Five Below Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Five Below or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Five Below's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Five stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.53
σ
Overall volatility
3.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Five Below Volatility Alert

Five Below currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Five Below's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Five Below's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Five Below Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Five Below's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Five Below's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Five Below and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Five Below or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Five Below's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five Below by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Five Below to competition
FundamentalsFive BelowPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0599-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.68 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.78 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.13 M4.71 M
Price To Earning36.49 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.18 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.37 X11.42 X
Revenue3.56 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.1 B27.38 B
EBITDA516.32 M3.9 B
Net Income301.11 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents272.42 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.91 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.74 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.53 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share29.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations499.62 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.47 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.07 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.79 X4.89 X
Target Price99.4
Number Of Employees7 K18.84 K
Beta1.2-0.15
Market Capitalization5.1 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.87 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.4 B9.33 B
Working Capital487.62 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Ryan Thomas M of 315 shares of Five Below at 67.22 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Five Below Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Five . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Five Below Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Five Below? Buying financial instruments such as Five Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Five Below in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Oil And Gas Thematic Idea Now

Oil And Gas
Oil And Gas Theme
Companies involved in drilling, production, and distribution of oil and gas pipelines. The Oil And Gas theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Oil And Gas Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Five Below is a strong investment it is important to analyze Five Below's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Five Below's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Five Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Five Below Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Five Stock refer to our How to Trade Five Stock guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Below. If investors know Five will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five Below listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
Earnings Share
5.07
Revenue Per Share
67.314
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.094
Return On Assets
0.0599
The market value of Five Below is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five Below's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five Below's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five Below's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five Below's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Below's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five Below is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five Below's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.