Fortuna Silver Mines Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FSM Stock | USD 4.81 0.03 0.62% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Fortuna Silver Mines is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Fortuna Silver's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Fortuna Silver Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Fortuna and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Fortuna Silver Mines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Fortuna |
Execute Fortuna Silver Buy or Sell Advice
The Fortuna recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Fortuna Silver Mines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Fortuna Silver Mines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Fortuna Silver's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Fortuna Silver Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Fortuna Silver Mines had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 842.43 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (51.77 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 146.8 M. | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: 3 Reasons Why Fortuna Is a Great Growth Stock |
Fortuna Silver Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Fortuna Silver's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Fortuna Silver's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Fortuna Silver daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Fortuna Silver Mines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Fortuna Silver returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Fortuna Silver.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -5.13 | Potential Upside | 4.66 | Standard Deviation | 3.28 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Fortuna Silver historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Fortuna Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Fortuna Silver, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fortuna Silver Mines back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.7 M | Voloridge Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.2 M | Cubist Systematic Strategies, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.2 M | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Bank Of Montreal | 2024-06-30 | 1.8 M | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2024-06-30 | 1.8 M | Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2024-06-30 | 29.8 M | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-06-30 | 9 M |
Fortuna Silver Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (7.1M) | 48.5M | (24.8M) | (26.6M) | 47.7M | 50.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (161.1M) | (20.9M) | (5.2M) | (57.0M) | 79.6M | 83.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.4M | 1.1M | 15.3M | 164.6M | 145.5M | 152.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 224.1M | 114.3M | 152.3M | 251.2M | 217.3M | 228.2M | |
| Net Income | 23.8M | 21.6M | 59.4M | (135.9M) | (51.8M) | (49.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 83.4M | 131.9M | 107.1M | 80.5M | 128.1M | 134.6M | |
| Depreciation | 23.7M | 30.2M | 67.1M | 172.8M | 226.8M | 238.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | (1.0M) | (25.7M) | (23.8M) | (20.4M) | (21.4M) | (20.3M) | |
| Investments | (145.2M) | 3.3M | 14K | (255.3M) | (238.7M) | (226.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 77.6M | 2.3M | (44.2M) | 47.8M | 55.0M | 57.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 806K | 33.7M | 2.5M | 39.7M | 45.6M | 47.9M |
Fortuna Silver Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fortuna Silver or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fortuna Silver's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fortuna stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Fortuna Silver Volatility Alert
Fortuna Silver Mines shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fortuna Silver's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fortuna Silver's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Fortuna Silver Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Fortuna Silver's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Fortuna Silver's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Fortuna Silver and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Fortuna Silver or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Fortuna Silver's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortuna Silver by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Fortuna Silver to competition |
| Fundamentals | Fortuna Silver | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0259 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0404 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.25 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.53 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 313.33 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.83 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 63.78 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 13.25 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 29.83 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.07 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.47 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 842.43 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 146.8 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 230.79 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (51.77 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 116.37 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.40 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 264.25 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.17 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.26 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.53 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 302.35 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.97 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.07 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 6.75 | |
| Beta | 1.63 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.51 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.97 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 87.65 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 89.56 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 128.04 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 34.15 M | 7.9 B |
Fortuna Silver Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fortuna . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Fortuna Silver Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Fortuna Silver Mines? Buying financial instruments such as Fortuna Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Fortuna Silver Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortuna Silver. If investors know Fortuna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fortuna Silver listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.778 | Earnings Share 0.07 | Revenue Per Share 3.329 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 | Return On Assets 0.0404 |
The market value of Fortuna Silver Mines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fortuna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fortuna Silver's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fortuna Silver's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fortuna Silver's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fortuna Silver's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortuna Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortuna Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortuna Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.