Geron Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GERN Stock | USD 4.12 0.05 1.20% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Geron is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Geron's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Geron Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Geron and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Geron. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Geron |
Execute Geron Buy or Sell Advice
The Geron recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Geron. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Geron or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Geron's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Geron Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Geron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 237 K. Net Loss for the year was (184.13 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (93.67 M). | |
| Geron currently holds about 219.29 M in cash with (167.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58. | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Geron Corp. Among the NASDAQ Stocks with Biggest Upside Potential According to Analysts |
Geron Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Geron's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Geron's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Geron daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Geron price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Geron returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Geron.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -4.13 | Potential Upside | 4.17 | Standard Deviation | 2.90 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Geron historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Geron Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Geron, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Geron back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 15 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 13.1 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-09-30 | 12.7 M | Jefferies Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 9.7 M | Deep Track Capital, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 7.6 M | Eventide Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 7.1 M | Woodline Partners Lp | 2024-09-30 | 7 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 7 M | Boxer Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 46.6 M | Rtw Investments, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 44.1 M |
Geron Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 3.1M | (3.6M) | 24.9M | 22.0M | 13.9M | 14.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (44.2M) | (67.1M) | (95.8M) | (127.8M) | (168.6M) | (160.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 776K | 935K | 783K | 868K | 1.0M | 1.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 68K | 264K | 984K | 626K | (10.1M) | (9.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 413K | 401K | 207K | 431K | 830K | 689.7K | |
| Net Income | (68.5M) | (75.6M) | (116.1M) | (141.9M) | (184.1M) | (174.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 13.9M | 10.3M | 35.2M | 57.2M | 71.1M | 40.4M | |
| Investments | 27.8M | (105.3M) | 70.6M | 62.5M | (180.3M) | (171.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 6.4M | 6.7M | 6.9M | 8.3M | 9.5M | 7.1M |
Geron Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Geron or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Geron's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Geron stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Geron Volatility Alert
Geron exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of 1.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Geron's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Geron's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Geron Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Geron's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Geron's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Geron and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Geron or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Geron's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Geron by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Geron to competition |
| Fundamentals | Geron | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.69 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.3 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (1.00) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.24 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 604.5 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.08 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.36 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 70.13 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (12.48) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 8.52 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 85.51 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 237 K | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (93.67 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (174.78 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (184.13 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 219.29 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.58 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 85.9 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.39 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.85 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (167.74 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.39 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.32) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (2.38) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 7.45 | |
| Number Of Employees | 141 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.52 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.52 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 394.08 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.6 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 233.28 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 115.89 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 600000 shares by Scarlett John A of Geron at 2.54 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Geron Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Geron . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Geron Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Geron? Buying financial instruments such as Geron Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Natural Foods
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Check out Geron Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geron. If investors know Geron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geron listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.32) | Revenue Per Share 0.047 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 171.384 | Return On Assets (0.30) | Return On Equity (0.69) |
The market value of Geron is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geron's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geron's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geron's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geron's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.