Metalurgica Gerdau (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GOAU3 Stock  BRL 11.23  0.02  0.18%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Metalurgica Gerdau SA is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Metalurgica Gerdau SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Metalurgica Gerdau. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Metalurgica Gerdau SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Metalurgica Gerdau Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Metalurgica and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Metalurgica Gerdau SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Metalurgica Gerdau Buy or Sell Advice

The Metalurgica recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Metalurgica Gerdau SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Metalurgica Gerdau SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Metalurgica Gerdau's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Metalurgica GerdauBuy Metalurgica Gerdau
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Metalurgica Gerdau SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0573, Jensen Alpha of 0.1247, Total Risk Alpha of (0.15), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of (0.53)
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Metalurgica Gerdau SA and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Metalurgica Gerdau is not overpriced, please verify all Metalurgica Gerdau SA fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, and the relationship between the price to book and revenue .

Metalurgica Gerdau Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has R$12.92 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Metalurgica Gerdau Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Metalurgica Gerdau's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Metalurgica Gerdau's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Metalurgica Gerdau daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Metalurgica Gerdau SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Metalurgica Gerdau returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Metalurgica Gerdau.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-2.03
Potential Upside
2.01
Standard Deviation
1.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Metalurgica Gerdau historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Metalurgica Gerdau Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Metalurgica Gerdau or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Metalurgica Gerdau's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Metalurgica stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.0079

Metalurgica Gerdau Volatility Alert

Metalurgica Gerdau SA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.59 and kurtosis of 5.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Metalurgica Gerdau's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Metalurgica Gerdau's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Metalurgica Gerdau Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Metalurgica Gerdau's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Metalurgica Gerdau's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Metalurgica Gerdau and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Metalurgica Gerdau or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Metalurgica Gerdau's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Metalurgica Gerdau by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Metalurgica Gerdau to competition
FundamentalsMetalurgica GerdauPeer Average
Return On Equity0.3-0.31
Return On Asset0.15-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.27 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding365.11 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders87.54 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.70 %39.21 %
Price To Earning8.90 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.98 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.17 X11.42 X
Revenue78.35 B9.43 B
Gross Profit20.82 B27.38 B
EBITDA13.52 B3.9 B
Net Income5.06 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.15 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt12.92 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity61.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.85 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.97 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations13.19 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share4.19 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2718.84 K
Beta1.22-0.15
Market Capitalization12.79 B19.03 B
Total Asset74.61 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.64 B9.33 B
Working Capital11.64 B1.48 B
Current Asset17.92 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities6.28 B7.9 B
Z Score1.08.72
Annual Yield0.11 %

Metalurgica Gerdau Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Metalurgica . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Metalurgica Gerdau Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Metalurgica Gerdau SA? Buying financial instruments such as Metalurgica Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Metalurgica Stock Analysis

When running Metalurgica Gerdau's price analysis, check to measure Metalurgica Gerdau's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metalurgica Gerdau is operating at the current time. Most of Metalurgica Gerdau's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metalurgica Gerdau's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metalurgica Gerdau's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metalurgica Gerdau to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.