Genuine Parts Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GPC Stock  USD 126.87  1.03  0.81%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Genuine Parts Co is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Genuine Parts buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GPC positions.
  
Check out Genuine Parts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Genuine and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Genuine Parts Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Genuine Parts Buy or Sell Advice

The Genuine recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Genuine Parts Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Genuine Parts Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Genuine Parts' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Genuine PartsBuy Genuine Parts
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Genuine Parts Co has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.26), Total Risk Alpha of (0.59) and Treynor Ratio of (0.10)
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Genuine Parts to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Genuine Parts. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Genuine Parts Co is not overpriced, please check out all Genuine Parts fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Genuine Parts has a price to earning of 22.37 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Genuine Parts market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Genuine Parts Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Genuine Parts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Genuine Parts has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of October 2024 Genuine Parts paid $ 1.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: OReilly Automotive Up 0.4 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue

Genuine Parts Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Genuine Parts' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Genuine Parts' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Genuine Parts daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Genuine Parts Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Genuine Parts returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Genuine Parts.
Mean Return
-0.11
Value At Risk
-2.36
Potential Upside
2.85
Standard Deviation
3.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Genuine Parts historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Genuine Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.8 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
1.7 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
1.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
1.5 M
Proshare Advisors Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Cullen Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Bb&t Corp.2024-09-30
1.3 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
17.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
10.8 M
Note, although Genuine Parts' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Genuine Parts Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(54.8M)58.5M(329.2M)(380.4M)(69.1M)(72.6M)
Change In Cash(56.6M)713.2M(275.5M)(61.2M)448.5M471.0M
Free Cash Flow614.1M1.9B992.1M1.1B922.9M556.9M
Depreciation257.3M272.8M291.0M347.8M350.5M368.1M
Other Non Cash Items33.0M535.0M22.6M(84.4M)(41.6M)(39.5M)
Dividends Paid438.9M453.3M465.6M495.9M526.7M288.4M
Capital Expenditures277.9M153.5M266.1M339.6M512.7M538.3M
Net Income646.5M163.4M898.8M1.2B1.3B1.4B
End Period Cash Flow277.0M990.2M714.7M653.5M1.1B1.2B
Net Borrowings139.4M(895.0M)(160.7M)960.9M1.1B1.2B
Change To Netincome65.9M529.9M97.2M(44.1M)(50.8M)(48.2M)
Investments(563.2M)171.6M(506.2M)(1.7B)(500.7M)(525.7M)

Genuine Parts Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Genuine Parts or Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Genuine Parts' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Genuine stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.18
σ
Overall volatility
3.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Genuine Parts Volatility Alert

Genuine Parts Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -5.06 and kurtosis of 36.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Genuine Parts' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Genuine Parts' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Genuine Parts Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Genuine Parts' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Genuine Parts' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Genuine Parts and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Genuine Parts or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Genuine Parts' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genuine Parts by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Genuine Parts to competition
FundamentalsGenuine PartsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.24-0.31
Return On Asset0.056-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.69 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding139.04 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.37 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions82.32 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.87 M4.71 M
Price To Earning22.37 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.76 X11.42 X
Revenue23.09 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.74 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.16 B3.9 B
Net Income1.32 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents653.46 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.89 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.10 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.18 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share33.77 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.44 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.54 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share7.76 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth5.14 X4.89 X
Target Price131.91
Number Of Employees60 K18.84 K
Beta0.93-0.15
Market Capitalization17.78 B19.03 B
Total Asset17.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.07 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.78 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Randall Breaux of 750 shares of Genuine Parts at 133.65 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Genuine Parts Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Genuine . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Genuine Parts Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Genuine Parts Co? Buying financial instruments such as Genuine Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Genuine Parts in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Asset Allocation ETFs Theme
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When determining whether Genuine Parts offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Genuine Parts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Genuine Parts Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Genuine Parts Co Stock:
Check out Genuine Parts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genuine Parts. If investors know Genuine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genuine Parts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.35)
Dividend Share
3.95
Earnings Share
7.76
Revenue Per Share
167.12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.025
The market value of Genuine Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genuine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genuine Parts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genuine Parts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genuine Parts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genuine Parts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genuine Parts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genuine Parts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genuine Parts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.