John B Sanfilippo Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

JBSS Stock  USD 84.74  0.83  0.99%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding John B Sanfilippo is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell John B Sanfilippo given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards John B. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for John B Sanfilippo, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out John B Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as John and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. John B Sanfilippo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute John B Buy or Sell Advice

The John recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on John B Sanfilippo. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in John B Sanfilippo or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute John B's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell John BBuy John B
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon John B Sanfilippo has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), Jensen Alpha of (0.24), Total Risk Alpha of (0.38) and Treynor Ratio of (0.11)
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on John B to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on John B Sanfilippo. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure John B Sanfilippo is not overpriced, please check out all John B fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that John B Sanfilippo has a price to earning of 16.97 X, we strongly advise you to confirm John B Sanfilippo market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

John B Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

John B Sanfilippo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Top Dividend Stocks On US Exchanges For November 2024

John B Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of John B's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of John B's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of John B daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use John B Sanfilippo price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of John B returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for John B.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-2.16
Potential Upside
1.74
Standard Deviation
1.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of John B historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

John Stock Institutional Investors

The John B's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase John B's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
192.7 K
Public Employees Retirt Assn Of Colorado2024-06-30
179.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
137 K
Amundi2024-06-30
135.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
135.4 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
116.1 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
94.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
89.3 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
86.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
1.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
731 K
Note, although John B's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

John B Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(15.0M)24.1M(56.9M)32.2M11.9M12.5M
Change In Cash(56K)(863K)(257K)1.5M(1.5M)(1.4M)
Free Cash Flow48.6M79.5M1.9M103.9M73.4M77.0M
Depreciation17.9M18.3M18.3M20.5M26.6M14.1M
Other Non Cash Items1.5M105K1.1M2.6M(482K)(457.9K)
Dividends Paid(68.7M)(57.5M)(34.5M)(54.9M)(34.8M)(36.5M)
Capital Expenditures15.0M25.2M17.8M20.7M28.3M15.3M
Net Income54.1M59.7M61.8M62.9M60.2M63.3M
End Period Cash Flow1.5M672K415K1.9M484K459.8K
Change Receivables4.4M4.0M(9.4M)(3.3M)(3.8M)(4.0M)
Net Borrowings20.0M(24.6M)27.1M(43.5M)(39.2M)(37.2M)
Change To Netincome4.1M3.9M5.2M5.0M5.8M6.1M
Investments(14.0M)(23.0M)3.2M(24.3M)(87.3M)(83.0M)

John B Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to John B or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that John B's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a John stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

John B Volatility Alert

John B Sanfilippo exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.93 and kurtosis of 17.38. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure John B's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact John B's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

John B Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing John B's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze John B's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between John B and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as John B or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of John B's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing John B by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare John B to competition
FundamentalsJohn BPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0973-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.41 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions93.11 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted165.44 K4.71 M
Price To Earning16.97 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.89 X11.42 X
Revenue1.07 B9.43 B
Gross Profit211.63 M27.38 B
EBITDA109.09 M3.9 B
Net Income60.25 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents415 K2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt55.57 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.19 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.31 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share26.79 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations101.67 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.01 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.64 X3.12 X
Target Price107.0
Number Of Employees1.8 K18.84 K
Beta0.11-0.15
Market Capitalization951.95 M19.03 B
Total Asset515.58 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings186.97 M9.33 B
Working Capital168.15 M1.48 B
Current Asset128.78 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Sanfilippo James J of 1268 shares of John B subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

John B Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as John . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About John B Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell John B Sanfilippo? Buying financial instruments such as John Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having John B in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Machinery Thematic Idea Now

Machinery
Machinery Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Machinery theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Machinery Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for John Stock Analysis

When running John B's price analysis, check to measure John B's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John B is operating at the current time. Most of John B's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John B's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John B's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John B to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.