KGHM Polska (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KGHA Stock  EUR 27.86  0.14  0.51%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding KGHM Polska Miedz is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides KGHM Polska buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding KGHA positions.
  
Check out KGHM Polska Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as KGHM and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. KGHM Polska Miedz. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute KGHM Polska Buy or Sell Advice

The KGHM recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on KGHM Polska Miedz. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in KGHM Polska Miedz or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute KGHM Polska's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell KGHM PolskaBuy KGHM Polska
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon KGHM Polska Miedz has a Mean Deviation of 2.15, Standard Deviation of 2.87 and Variance of 8.21
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on KGHM Polska Miedz. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available today. To make sure KGHM Polska Miedz is not overpriced, please verify all KGHM Polska Miedz fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to book, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to earning .

KGHM Polska Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

KGHM Polska Miedz generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

KGHM Polska Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of KGHM Polska's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of KGHM Polska's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of KGHM Polska daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use KGHM Polska Miedz price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of KGHM Polska returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for KGHM Polska.
Mean Return
-0.27
Value At Risk
-4.37
Potential Upside
4.35
Standard Deviation
2.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of KGHM Polska historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

KGHM Polska Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to KGHM Polska or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that KGHM Polska's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a KGHM stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

KGHM Polska Volatility Alert

KGHM Polska Miedz exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.21 and kurtosis of 1.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure KGHM Polska's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact KGHM Polska's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

KGHM Polska Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing KGHM Polska's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze KGHM Polska's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between KGHM Polska and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as KGHM Polska or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of KGHM Polska's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KGHM Polska by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare KGHM Polska to competition
FundamentalsKGHM PolskaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.23-0.31
Return On Asset0.0564-0.14
Profit Margin0.20 %(1.27) %
Current Valuation6.12 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding200 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders31.79 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions29.75 %39.21 %
Price To Earning26.48 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.75 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.72 X11.42 X
Revenue29.8 B9.43 B
Gross Profit6.57 B27.38 B
EBITDA10.06 B3.9 B
Net Income6.16 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents336.54 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.68 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.9 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.31 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.00 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share29.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.27 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share7.05 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees33.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.44-0.15
Market Capitalization5.77 B19.03 B
Total Asset48.03 B29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return3.42 %
Net Asset48.03 B

KGHM Polska Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as KGHM . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About KGHM Polska Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell KGHM Polska Miedz? Buying financial instruments such as KGHM Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having KGHM Polska in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Retail Thematic Idea Now

Retail
Retail Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Retail theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Retail Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in KGHM Stock

KGHM Polska financial ratios help investors to determine whether KGHM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KGHM with respect to the benefits of owning KGHM Polska security.