Liberty Financial (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LFG Stock   3.24  0.05  1.52%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Liberty Financial Group is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Liberty Financial Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Liberty Financial Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Liberty Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Liberty and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Liberty Financial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Liberty Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Liberty recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Liberty Financial Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Liberty Financial Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Liberty Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Liberty FinancialBuy Liberty Financial
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Liberty Financial Group has a Mean Deviation of 1.44, Standard Deviation of 1.82 and Variance of 3.31
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Liberty Financial Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Liberty Financial is not overpriced, please verify all Liberty Financial Group fundamentals, including its profit margin, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Liberty Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Liberty Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Liberty Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Liberty Financial Group has accumulated about 1.22 B in cash with (929.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Liberty Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Liberty Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Liberty Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Liberty Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Liberty Financial Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Liberty Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Liberty Financial.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-3.18
Potential Upside
2.65
Standard Deviation
1.82
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Liberty Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Liberty Financial Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(289.5M)105.4M50.2M688.4M(402.0M)(381.9M)
Free Cash Flow189.9M(4.3M)(3.5M)(442.7M)(932.6M)(885.9M)
Depreciation11.8M17.3M17.2M19.2M19.6M20.5M
Other Non Cash Items154.1M(6.5M)(6.1M)70.8M39.4M51.1M
Capital Expenditures4.4M4.3M3.5M7.1M2.9M3.6M
Net Income46.5M185.9M219.6M181.5M115.8M73.1M
End Period Cash Flow498.5M603.9M654.0M1.3B940.4M554.7M
Investments(12.0M)(24.4M)(15.4M)(31.9M)30.0M31.5M
Dividends Paid703K181.7M137.8M149.2M108.6M79.6M
Change To Netincome34.2M7.4M(4.8M)(5.5M)(5.0M)(4.7M)

Liberty Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Liberty Financial or Consumer Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Liberty Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Liberty stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Liberty Financial Volatility Alert

Liberty Financial Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.03 and kurtosis of -0.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Liberty Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Liberty Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Liberty Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Liberty Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Liberty Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Liberty Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Liberty Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Liberty Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liberty Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Liberty Financial to competition
FundamentalsLiberty FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0974-0.31
Return On Asset0.0072-0.14
Profit Margin0.19 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.25 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation14.04 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding303.6 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders80.70 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions5.15 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.82 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.63 X11.42 X
Revenue601.97 M9.43 B
Gross Profit629.41 M27.38 B
EBITDA1.06 B3.9 B
Net Income115.81 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.22 B2.7 B
Total Debt14.57 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share3.95 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(929.69 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.38 X3.12 X
Target Price4.11
Number Of Employees54618.84 K
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization983.66 M19.03 B
Total Asset16.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings588.39 M9.33 B
Working Capital(2.19 B)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.08 %
Net Asset16.31 B
Last Dividend Paid0.25

Liberty Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Liberty . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Liberty Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Liberty Financial Group? Buying financial instruments such as Liberty Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Liberty Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Junk Bonds Funds Thematic Idea Now

Junk Bonds Funds
Junk Bonds Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest most of their assets into speculative (junk) bonds or to other fixed income instruments with interest rates 3 to 4 percentage points above government issues. The Junk Bonds Funds theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Junk Bonds Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Liberty Stock Analysis

When running Liberty Financial's price analysis, check to measure Liberty Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liberty Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Liberty Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liberty Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liberty Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liberty Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.