China Merchants (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

M4B Stock  EUR 4.39  0.09  2.09%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding China Merchants Bank is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides China Merchants buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding M4B positions.
  
Check out China Merchants Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. China Merchants Bank. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute China Merchants Buy or Sell Advice

The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Merchants Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Merchants Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Merchants' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell China MerchantsBuy China Merchants
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon China Merchants Bank has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0803, Jensen Alpha of 0.2776, Total Risk Alpha of (0.15), Sortino Ratio of 0.0779 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6877
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on China Merchants Bank. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure China Merchants is not overpriced, please confirm all China Merchants Bank fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to earning .

China Merchants Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

China Merchants Bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

China Merchants Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of China Merchants' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Merchants' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Merchants daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Merchants Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Merchants returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Merchants.
Mean Return
0.34
Value At Risk
-3.52
Potential Upside
5.77
Standard Deviation
3.55
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Merchants historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

China Merchants Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Merchants or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Merchants' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
3.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

China Merchants Volatility Alert

China Merchants Bank currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Merchants' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Merchants' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

China Merchants Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing China Merchants' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Merchants' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Merchants and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Merchants or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Merchants' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Merchants by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare China Merchants to competition
FundamentalsChina MerchantsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0144-0.14
Profit Margin0.40 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.48 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation516.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.59 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.57 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions41.99 %39.21 %
Price To Earning9.31 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.05 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.44 X11.42 X
Revenue327.22 B9.43 B
Gross Profit344.78 B27.38 B
Net Income119.92 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents108.87 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt161.32 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share35.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations182.05 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.73 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.50 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees1018.84 K
Beta1.0-0.15
Market Capitalization130.1 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.25 T29.47 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return3.70 %
Net Asset9.25 T

China Merchants Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About China Merchants Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell China Merchants Bank? Buying financial instruments such as China Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having China Merchants in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Business Services Thematic Idea Now

Business Services
Business Services Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Business Services theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Business Services Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Merchants financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Merchants security.