Microsoft Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MSFT Stock | USD 423.46 0.47 0.11% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Microsoft is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Microsoft given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Microsoft. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Microsoft, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Microsoft Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Microsoft and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Microsoft |
Execute Microsoft Buy or Sell Advice
The Microsoft recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Microsoft. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Microsoft or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Microsoft's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Microsoft Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Microsoft has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Microsoft Ignite Highlights Transformative Impact of AI Across Global Industries |
Microsoft Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Microsoft's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Microsoft's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Microsoft daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Microsoft price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Microsoft returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Microsoft.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -1.85 | Potential Upside | 2.09 | Standard Deviation | 1.30 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Microsoft historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Microsoft Stock Institutional Investors
The Microsoft's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Microsoft's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 72.2 M | Capital World Investors | 2024-09-30 | 69 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 68.9 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 64.2 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 61.8 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-09-30 | 54.6 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 54 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 52.5 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 47.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 673.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 554 M |
Microsoft Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 168M | (737M) | (1.1B) | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.3B | |
| Change In Cash | 2.2B | 648M | (293M) | 20.8B | (16.4B) | (15.6B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 45.2B | 56.1B | 65.1B | 59.5B | 74.1B | 77.8B | |
| Depreciation | 12.8B | 11.7B | 14.5B | 13.9B | 22.3B | 23.4B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 15.4B | 20.6B | 23.9B | 28.1B | 44.5B | 46.7B | |
| Net Income | 44.3B | 61.3B | 72.7B | 72.4B | 88.1B | 92.5B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 13.6B | 14.2B | 13.9B | 34.7B | 18.3B | 19.2B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (219M) | (1.2B) | (409M) | 196M | 305M | 320.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.1B | 16.5B | 18.1B | 19.8B | 21.8B | 22.9B | |
| Investments | (10.7B) | 2.9B | 18.4B | (22.7B) | (97.0B) | (92.1B) | |
| Change Receivables | (2.8B) | (2.6B) | (6.5B) | (6.8B) | (6.2B) | (5.8B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (4B) | (8.9B) | (3.8B) | (9.0B) | (8.1B) | (7.7B) | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.6B) | 5.1B | 4.7B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 2.0B |
Microsoft Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Microsoft or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Microsoft's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Microsoft stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Microsoft Volatility Alert
Microsoft has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.64 and kurtosis of 6.62. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Microsoft's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Microsoft's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Microsoft Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Microsoft's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Microsoft's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Microsoft and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Microsoft or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Microsoft's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Microsoft by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Microsoft to competition |
| Fundamentals | Microsoft | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.36 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.15 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.36 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.47 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.13 T | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.43 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.06 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.53 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 56.02 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 26.64 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 10.93 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 12.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 245.12 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 165.36 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 133.01 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 88.14 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 34.7 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 14.39 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 97.85 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.44 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.84 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 38.69 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 118.55 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.58 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 12.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 504.9 | |
| Number Of Employees | 228 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.9 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.15 T | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 512.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 173.14 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 34.45 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Payment of 10302 shares by Christopher Young of Microsoft subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Microsoft Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Microsoft . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Microsoft Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Microsoft? Buying financial instruments such as Microsoft Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Microsoft in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Automobiles and Trucks Thematic Idea Now
Automobiles and Trucks
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Automobiles and Trucks theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Automobiles and Trucks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Microsoft Stock Analysis
When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.