Nl Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NL Stock  USD 7.97  0.15  1.92%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding NL Industries is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of NL Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out NL Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy NL Industries Stock please use our How to buy in NL Industries Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NL Industries and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NL Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute NL Industries Buy or Sell Advice

The NL Industries recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NL Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NL Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NL Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NL IndustriesBuy NL Industries
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon NL Industries has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0861, Jensen Alpha of 0.05, Total Risk Alpha of (0.16), Sortino Ratio of 0.0514 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1463
We provide trade recommendation to complement the latest expert consensus on NL Industries. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at this moment. To make sure NL Industries is not overpriced, please verify all NL Industries fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, cash and equivalents, target price, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that NL Industries has a price to earning of 22.67 X, we recommend you to check NL Industries market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself this quarter and beyond given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NL Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company generated the yearly revenue of 161.29 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (2.31 M) with gross profit of 48.8 M.
NL Industries has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NL Industries Reports Strong Third Quarter Turnaround - TipRanks

NL Industries Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NL Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NL Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NL Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NL Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NL Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NL Industries.
Mean Return
0.29
Value At Risk
-5.52
Potential Upside
4.35
Standard Deviation
2.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NL Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NL Industries Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
95.6 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
76.7 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
51.3 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
46.5 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
45.3 K
O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
40.1 K
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2024-06-30
36.9 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.2024-09-30
36.4 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
31.5 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
530.2 K
Note, although NL Industries' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NL Industries Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash36.9M7.4M10.0M(77.7M)42.7M44.8M
Free Cash Flow24.3M17.3M13.5M23.2M35.9M37.7M
Depreciation3.7M3.8M3.8M4.0M4.0M3.8M
Other Non Cash Items927K1.4M1.1M3.7M55.5M58.3M
Capital Expenditures3.2M1.7M4.1M3.7M1.1M1.1M
Net Income28.0M16.1M53.4M36.5M(2.3M)(2.2M)
End Period Cash Flow157.9M165.3M175.2M97.5M114.4M76.4M
Dividends Paid25.4M7.8M11.7M30.8M13.7M22.9M
Change To Inventory(1.4M)(193K)(7.5M)(5.8M)333K349.7K
Change To Netincome(10.0M)11.1M(18.3M)4.4M4.0M4.6M
Investments5.9M(1.4M)10.8M(64.5M)(75.9M)(72.1M)
Change Receivables15.5M1.1M(4.5M)(2.3M)(2.0M)(1.9M)

NL Industries Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NL Industries or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NL Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NL Industries stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.93
σ
Overall volatility
2.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

NL Industries Volatility Alert

NL Industries shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NL Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NL Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NL Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NL Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NL Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NL Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NL Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NL Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NL Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NL Industries to competition
FundamentalsNL IndustriesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0278-0.14
Profit Margin0.39 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation249.23 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding48.85 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders83.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions12.22 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted99.34 K4.71 M
Price To Earning22.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.02 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.53 X11.42 X
Revenue161.29 M9.43 B
Gross Profit48.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA(1.1 M)3.9 B
Net Income(2.31 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents68.87 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt500 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.90 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations37 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.39 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.19 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.42) X4.89 X
Target Price6.0
Number Of Employees2.75 K18.84 K
Beta0.51-0.15
Market Capitalization381.99 M19.03 B
Total Asset600.2 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings284.46 M9.33 B
Working Capital187.81 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by John Harper of 2850 shares of NL Industries subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

NL Industries Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NL Industries . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NL Industries Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NL Industries? Buying financial instruments such as NL Industries Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having NL Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Management Thematic Idea Now

Management
Management Theme
Companies providing management services to businesses. The Management theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Management Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Check out NL Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy NL Industries Stock please use our How to buy in NL Industries Stock guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NL Industries. If investors know NL Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NL Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.382
Dividend Share
0.31
Earnings Share
1.19
Revenue Per Share
3.085
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of NL Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NL Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NL Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NL Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NL Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NL Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NL Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NL Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NL Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.