Navarre Minerals (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NML Stock   0.13  0.01  7.14%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Navarre Minerals is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Navarre Minerals given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Navarre Minerals, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Navarre Minerals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Navarre and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Navarre Minerals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Navarre Minerals Buy or Sell Advice

The Navarre recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Navarre Minerals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Navarre Minerals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Navarre Minerals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Navarre MineralsBuy Navarre Minerals
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves completely opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Navarre Minerals has a Mean Deviation of 1489.24, Standard Deviation of 6142.4, Variance of 3.772913159E7, Downside Variance of 1447.21, Semi Variance of (591.44) and Expected Short fall of (5,553)
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Navarre Minerals. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Navarre Minerals is not overpriced, please verify all Navarre Minerals fundamentals, including its gross profit, net income, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and total debt .

Navarre Minerals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Navarre Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Navarre Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Navarre Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 98.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.87 M.
Navarre Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Navarre Minerals Limited Announces High-Grade Gold and Silver from Drilling at St Arnaud Gold Project - Marketscreener.com

Navarre Minerals Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Navarre Minerals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Navarre Minerals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Navarre Minerals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Navarre Minerals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Navarre Minerals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Navarre Minerals.
Mean Return
755.06
Value At Risk
-7.14
Potential Upside
10.00
Standard Deviation
56.50
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Navarre Minerals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Navarre Minerals Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures4.3M10.7M19.1M6.8M550.8K523.2K
End Period Cash Flow2.6M14.1M12.8M77.9K506.5K481.1K
Change In Cash848.8K11.5M(1.3M)(12.7M)428.6K450.0K
Free Cash Flow(4.9M)(13.6M)(8.5M)(23.7M)(1.6M)(1.7M)
Other Non Cash Items161.1K337.1K(3.7M)(16.9M)(687.2K)(721.5K)
Net Income(866.1K)(984.1K)(2.7M)(3.1M)(2.8M)(2.6M)
Depreciation5.6K181.9K42.0K7.6M8.7M9.2M
Change To Netincome152.2K104.9K288.4K1.4M1.6M1.7M

Navarre Minerals Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Navarre Minerals or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Navarre Minerals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Navarre stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
773.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones-787.64
σ
Overall volatility
125.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Navarre Minerals Volatility Alert

Navarre Minerals is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Navarre Minerals is a potential penny stock. Although Navarre Minerals may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Navarre Minerals. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Navarre instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Navarre Minerals Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Navarre Minerals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Navarre Minerals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Navarre Minerals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Navarre Minerals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Navarre Minerals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Navarre Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Navarre Minerals to competition
FundamentalsNavarre MineralsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0887-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0182-0.14
Operating Margin1.74 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation14.37 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding102.44 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.32 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.25 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.43 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.41 X11.42 X
Revenue98.86 M9.43 B
Gross Profit11.87 M27.38 B
EBITDA(969.28 K)3.9 B
Net Income(3.09 M)570.98 M
Total Debt1.73 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share10.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(1.06 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.90 X3.12 X
Beta0.83-0.15
Market Capitalization10.76 M19.03 B
Total Asset33.56 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(79.41 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(1.64 M)1.48 B
Net Asset33.56 M

Navarre Minerals Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Navarre . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Navarre Minerals Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Navarre Minerals? Buying financial instruments such as Navarre Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Navarre Minerals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Preferred Stock ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Preferred Stock ETFs
Preferred Stock ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Preferred Stock ETFs theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Preferred Stock ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for Navarre Stock Analysis

When running Navarre Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Navarre Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Navarre Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Navarre Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Navarre Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Navarre Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Navarre Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.