Oreilly Automotive Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ORLY Stock | USD 1,243 0.79 0.06% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding OReilly Automotive is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell OReilly Automotive given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards OReilly Automotive. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for OReilly Automotive, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out OReilly Automotive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy OReilly Stock please use our How to Invest in OReilly Automotive guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as OReilly and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards OReilly Automotive. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
OReilly |
Execute OReilly Automotive Buy or Sell Advice
The OReilly recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on OReilly Automotive. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in OReilly Automotive or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute OReilly Automotive's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
OReilly Automotive Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| OReilly Automotive currently holds 7.84 B in liabilities. OReilly Automotive has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about OReilly Automotive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| OReilly Automotive has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 275 shares by Montellano Najera Jose A of OReilly Automotive at 1041.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
OReilly Automotive Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of OReilly Automotive's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of OReilly Automotive's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of OReilly Automotive daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use OReilly Automotive price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of OReilly Automotive returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for OReilly Automotive.
| Mean Return | 0.14 | Value At Risk | -1.55 | Potential Upside | 1.40 | Standard Deviation | 1.16 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of OReilly Automotive historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
OReilly Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as OReilly Automotive, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OReilly Automotive back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Jennison Associates Llc | 2024-09-30 | 894 K | International Assets Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 854.5 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 809.6 K | Amundi | 2024-06-30 | 792.2 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 787.9 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 698.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 673.8 K | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2024-09-30 | 601.6 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 580.7 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 4.2 M |
OReilly Automotive Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (239.9M) | (198.9M) | (32.6M) | (669.0M) | (288.3M) | (273.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | 9.1M | 425.2M | (103.5M) | (253.5M) | 170.5M | 179.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.1B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 2.6B | 2.0B | 2.1B | |
| Depreciation | 270.9M | 314.6M | 328.2M | 357.9M | 409.1M | 429.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 11.4M | 9.3M | 6.5M | 5.6M | 7.1M | 7.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 628.1M | 465.6M | 442.9M | 563.3M | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| Net Income | 1.4B | 1.8B | 2.2B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.5B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 40.4M | 465.6M | 362.1M | 108.6M | 279.1M | 293.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 29.5M | 27.4M | 47.2M | 62.7M | 72.1M | 75.7M | |
| Investments | (33.8M) | (164.1M) | (615.6M) | (740.0M) | (1.1B) | (1.1B) | |
| Change Receivables | 18.1M | (15.6M) | (20.5M) | (47.4M) | (42.7M) | (40.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 470.0M | 228.6M | (300M) | 547.3M | 629.4M | 660.9M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.9B | 3.2B | 2.2B | 5K | 5.8K | 5.5K |
OReilly Automotive Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to OReilly Automotive or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that OReilly Automotive's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a OReilly stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
OReilly Automotive Volatility Alert
OReilly Automotive has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.15, Maximum Drawdown of 7.77 and kurtosis of 9.99. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure OReilly Automotive's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact OReilly Automotive's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.OReilly Automotive Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing OReilly Automotive's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze OReilly Automotive's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between OReilly Automotive and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as OReilly Automotive or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of OReilly Automotive's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OReilly Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare OReilly Automotive to competition |
| Fundamentals | OReilly Automotive | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.59 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 79.41 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 57.73 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.88 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 88.87 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 890.64 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 25.98 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 210.18 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 15.81 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 7.38 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.19 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.35 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 67.06 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.07 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 7.84 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.70 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (24.88) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.03 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.48 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 40.40 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.96 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 1263.14 | |
| Number Of Employees | 92.71 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.92 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 71.77 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 14.6 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (3.13 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (2.1 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 631.04 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 275 shares by Montellano Najera Jose A of OReilly Automotive at 1041.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
OReilly Automotive Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as OReilly . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1354.5 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1245.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1244.63 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.51) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.79) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.98 |
About OReilly Automotive Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell OReilly Automotive? Buying financial instruments such as OReilly Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for OReilly Stock Analysis
When running OReilly Automotive's price analysis, check to measure OReilly Automotive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OReilly Automotive is operating at the current time. Most of OReilly Automotive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OReilly Automotive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OReilly Automotive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OReilly Automotive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.