Phunware Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PHUN Stock | USD 4.64 0.23 5.22% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Phunware is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Phunware's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Phunware Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Phunware Stock, please use our How to Invest in Phunware guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Phunware and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Phunware. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
Phunware |
Execute Phunware Buy or Sell Advice
The Phunware recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Phunware. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Phunware or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Phunware's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Phunware Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Phunware is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Phunware appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Phunware has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Phunware currently holds 6.6 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Phunware has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Phunware's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.08 M. | |
| Phunware currently holds about 8.54 M in cash with (18.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Phunware has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 29595 shares by Mewawalla Rahul of Phunware at 5.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Phunware Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Phunware's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Phunware's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Phunware daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Phunware price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Phunware returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Phunware.
| Mean Return | 1.12 | Value At Risk | -13.59 | Potential Upside | 21.48 | Standard Deviation | 11.49 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Phunware historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Phunware Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Phunware, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phunware back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 1 K | Barclays Plc | 2024-06-30 | 804 | Federated Hermes Inc | 2024-09-30 | 556 | Belvedere Trading Llc | 2024-09-30 | 169 | Citigroup Inc | 2024-09-30 | 83.0 | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 68.0 | Global Retirement Partners, Llc. | 2024-09-30 | 40.0 | Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-06-30 | 32.0 | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 384 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 240.6 K |
Phunware Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (6.0M) | 3.7M | 19.1M | (21.2M) | 2.0M | 1.9M | |
| Net Income | (12.9M) | (22.2M) | (53.5M) | (50.9M) | (41.9M) | (39.8M) | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.3M | 4.1M | (949K) | (412K) | 2.0 | 1.9 | |
| Investments | 70K | (1.1M) | (46.4M) | (2.3M) | 15.4M | 16.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | (252K) | 5.3M | (11.5M) | 3.7M | 4.3M | 4.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (6.2M) | (11.0M) | (63.8M) | (28.0M) | (18.4M) | (19.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 327K | 153K | 2.9M | 1.0M | 84K | 79.8K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 118K | 1.8M | 34.3M | 22.2M | 21.5M | 11.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 362K | 4.0M | 23.1M | 2.0M | 3.9M | 4.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.9M | 5.6M | 37.1M | 25.4M | 29.2M | 30.6M |
Phunware Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Phunware or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Phunware's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Phunware stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Phunware Volatility Alert
Phunware is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Phunware's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Phunware's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Phunware Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Phunware's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Phunware's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Phunware and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Phunware or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Phunware's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Phunware by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Phunware to competition |
| Fundamentals | Phunware | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.56 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.22 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (4.80) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 53.21 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 19.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.24 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 4.43 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.76 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (222.25) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.01 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 26.09 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.83 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.08 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (40.1 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (41.94 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.54 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.08 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.52 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (18.43 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.11 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (8.52) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 12.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 25 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.42 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 92.28 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.73 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (303 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (11.54 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 11 K | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 20.86 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Disposition of 29595 shares by Mewawalla Rahul of Phunware at 5.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Phunware Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Phunware . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Phunware Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Phunware? Buying financial instruments such as Phunware Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Phunware Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Phunware Stock, please use our How to Invest in Phunware guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phunware. If investors know Phunware will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Phunware listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (8.52) | Revenue Per Share 0.484 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.76) | Return On Assets (0.22) | Return On Equity (1.56) |
The market value of Phunware is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Phunware that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Phunware's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Phunware's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Phunware's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Phunware's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Phunware's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phunware is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phunware's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.