Radian (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RAG Stock  EUR 29.80  0.60  1.97%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Radian Group is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Radian buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Radian positions.
  
Check out Radian Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Radian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Radian Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Radian Buy or Sell Advice

The Radian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Radian Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Radian Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Radian's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell RadianBuy Radian
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Radian Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.07), Total Risk Alpha of (0.10) and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Radian. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Radian is not overpriced, please check all Radian Group fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, price to earning, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Radian Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Radian Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Radian Group has accumulated 1.57 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 28.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Radian Group has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Radian until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Radian's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Radian Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Radian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Radian's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of Radian shares are owned by institutional investors

Radian Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Radian's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Radian's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Radian daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Radian Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Radian returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Radian.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-3.16
Potential Upside
2.74
Standard Deviation
1.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Radian historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Radian Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Radian or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Radian's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Radian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.86
σ
Overall volatility
1.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Radian Volatility Alert

Radian Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of 3.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Radian's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Radian's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Radian Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Radian's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Radian's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Radian and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Radian or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Radian's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Radian by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Radian to competition
FundamentalsRadianPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0882-0.14
Profit Margin0.62 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.88 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding157.19 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.87 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.10 %39.21 %
Price To Earning6.74 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.76 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.33 X11.42 X
Revenue1.19 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.42 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.11 B3.9 B
Net Income742.93 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents74.11 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.36 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.57 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity28.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.58 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.95 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations388.3 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share4.10 X3.12 X
Target Price27.56
Number Of Employees1.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.17-0.15
Market Capitalization3.12 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.06 B29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return0.06 %
Net Asset7.06 B
Last Dividend Paid0.8

Radian Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Radian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Radian Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Radian Group? Buying financial instruments such as Radian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Radian in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Health Management Thematic Idea Now

Health Management
Health Management Theme
Major hospitals and healthcare providers. The Health Management theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Health Management Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Radian Stock

When determining whether Radian Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Radian's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Radian Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Radian Group Stock:
Check out Radian Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Radian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Radian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Radian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.