Red Robin Gourmet Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| RRGB Stock | USD 5.39 0.02 0.37% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Red Robin Gourmet is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Red Robin buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding RRGB positions.
Check out Red Robin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Red and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Red Robin Gourmet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Red |
Execute Red Robin Buy or Sell Advice
The Red recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Red Robin Gourmet. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Red Robin Gourmet or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Red Robin's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Red Robin Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Red Robin Gourmet appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Red Robin Gourmet currently holds 618.54 M in liabilities. Red Robin Gourmet has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Red Robin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (21.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 195.97 M. | |
| Red Robin Gourmet currently holds about 50.34 M in cash with (1.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.17. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Make-A-Wish kids bring even more holiday cheer with return of motivational hotline |
Red Robin Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Red Robin's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Red Robin's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Red Robin daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Red Robin Gourmet price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Red Robin returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Red Robin.
| Mean Return | 0.99 | Value At Risk | -5.47 | Potential Upside | 7.43 | Standard Deviation | 4.86 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Red Robin historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Red Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 194.3 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-09-30 | 185.6 K | Western Wealth Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 161.5 K | Pdt Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 151.4 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-09-30 | 140.3 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 135.4 K | Bleakley Financial Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 121.7 K | Jane Street Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 116.9 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 104.6 K | Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 984.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 759.7 K |
Red Robin Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 11.5M | (13.9M) | 6.6M | 35.5M | (26.6M) | (25.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 606K | (1.9M) | 5.0M | (2.6M) | (50.6M) | (48.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 91.8M | 87.6M | 83.4M | 76.2M | 66.2M | 56.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (4.6M) | 121.7M | (1.9M) | 14.9M | (31.0M) | (29.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 57.3M | 22.1M | 42.3M | 38.2M | 49.4M | 67.3M | |
| Net Income | (7.9M) | (276.1M) | (50.0M) | (77.8M) | (21.2M) | (20.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 30.0M | 16.1M | 22.8M | 58.2M | 31.6M | 18.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | 15.5M | 2.2M | (1.9M) | (1.8M) | (280K) | (266K) | |
| Change Receivables | 2.9M | 2.8M | (5.6M) | (4.9M) | (5.7M) | (5.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 273.5M | (39.5M) | 1.9M | 30.6M | 35.2M | 27.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | (5.6M) | 56.9M | 9.7M | 17.7M | 20.4M | 11.2M | |
| Investments | (57.0M) | (21.4M) | (42.2M) | (29.6M) | 7.7M | 8.1M |
Red Robin Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Red Robin or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Red Robin's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Red stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Red Robin Volatility Alert
Red Robin Gourmet shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Red Robin's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Red Robin's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Red Robin Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Red Robin's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Red Robin's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Red Robin and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Red Robin or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Red Robin's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red Robin by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Red Robin to competition |
| Fundamentals | Red Robin | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -2.38 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0217 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 660.75 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.39 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 16.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 64.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.23 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 31.78 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 41.70 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.07 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.3 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 195.97 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 71.83 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (21.23 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 50.34 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.17 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 618.54 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.54 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (3.38) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.16 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.97 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (3.29) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.41 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.88 | |
| Number Of Employees | 22.52 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.72 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 94.06 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 741.93 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (75.42 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (94.56 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 96.74 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 1824 shares by Sarah Mussetter of Red Robin at 5.59 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Red Robin Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Red . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Red Robin Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Red Robin Gourmet? Buying financial instruments such as Red Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Red Robin in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Large & Mid Caps ETFs theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large & Mid Caps ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Red Robin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Red Robin. If investors know Red will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Red Robin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.29) | Revenue Per Share 81.497 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (2.38) |
The market value of Red Robin Gourmet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Red that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Red Robin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Red Robin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Red Robin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Red Robin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Red Robin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Red Robin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Red Robin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.