Riskified Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RSKD Stock  USD 4.77  0.08  1.65%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Riskified is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Riskified buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding RSKD positions.
  
Check out Riskified Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Riskified Stock refer to our How to Trade Riskified Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Riskified and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Riskified. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Riskified Buy or Sell Advice

The Riskified recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Riskified. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Riskified or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Riskified's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell RiskifiedBuy Riskified
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Riskified has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.21), Total Risk Alpha of (0.38) and Treynor Ratio of (0.05)
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Riskified. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Riskified is not overpriced, please check all Riskified fundamentals, including its gross profit, book value per share, total asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and target price . Given that Riskified has a number of shares shorted of 1.23 M, we recommend you to check out Riskified market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Riskified Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Riskified generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 297.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (59.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 135.1 M.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Jennison Associates LLC Purchases 573,596 Shares of Riskified Ltd. - MarketBeat

Riskified Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Riskified's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Riskified's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Riskified daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Riskified price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Riskified returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Riskified.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-3.67
Potential Upside
2.62
Standard Deviation
2.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Riskified historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Riskified Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Ark Investment Management Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Note, although Riskified's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Riskified Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Riskified or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Riskified's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Riskified stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.25
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Riskified Volatility Alert

Riskified exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.4 and kurtosis of 1.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Riskified's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Riskified's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Riskified Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Riskified's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Riskified's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Riskified and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Riskified or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Riskified's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Riskified by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Riskified to competition
FundamentalsRiskifiedPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0975-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0666-0.14
Profit Margin(0.15) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.18) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation302.6 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding90.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders15.77 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions72.94 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.23 M4.71 M
Price To Book1.69 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.13 X11.42 X
Revenue297.61 M9.43 B
Gross Profit135.1 M27.38 B
EBITDA(71.75 M)3.9 B
Net Income(59.03 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents483.49 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.89 X5.01 X
Total Debt31.31 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.07 %48.70 %
Current Ratio8.62 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.75 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.28 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.50 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.19) X3.12 X
Target Price5.59
Number Of Employees69318.84 K
Beta1.36-0.15
Market Capitalization664.02 M19.03 B
Total Asset601.93 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(411.57 M)9.33 B
Working Capital462.49 M1.48 B
Net Asset601.93 M

Riskified Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Riskified . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Riskified Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Riskified? Buying financial instruments such as Riskified Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Riskified in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Israel Wall Street
Israel Wall Street Theme
Cross-sector collection of best publicly traded Israel entities that are expected to continue growing. The Israel Wall Street theme has 71 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Israel Wall Street Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Riskified is a strong investment it is important to analyze Riskified's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Riskified's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Riskified Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Riskified Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Riskified Stock refer to our How to Trade Riskified Stock guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Riskified. If investors know Riskified will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Riskified listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.19)
Revenue Per Share
1.754
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.1)
The market value of Riskified is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Riskified that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Riskified's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Riskified's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Riskified's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Riskified's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Riskified's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Riskified is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Riskified's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.