Supply Network (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SNL Stock   32.40  0.24  0.74%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Supply Network is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Supply Network given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Supply Network, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Supply Network Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Supply and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Supply Network. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Supply Network Buy or Sell Advice

The Supply recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Supply Network. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Supply Network or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Supply Network's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Supply NetworkBuy Supply Network
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Supply Network has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0801, Jensen Alpha of 0.1549, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0813, Sortino Ratio of 0.0708 and Treynor Ratio of 0.9039
Our recommendation module can be used to complement Supply Network trade recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Supply Network is not overpriced, please validate all Supply Network fundamentals, including its revenue, ebitda, and the relationship between the price to sales and gross profit .

Supply Network Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Supply Network is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Supply Networks five-year earnings growth trails the 53 percent YoY shareholder returns - Simply Wall St

Supply Network Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Supply Network's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Supply Network's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Supply Network daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Supply Network price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Supply Network returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Supply Network.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-2.63
Potential Upside
3.71
Standard Deviation
1.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Supply Network historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Supply Network Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Depreciation5.7M5.9M6.7M7.5M9.1M9.5M
Other Non Cash Items(4.0M)(3.2M)(8.5M)(15.9M)7.0M7.4M
Capital Expenditures2.0M1.5M3.0M4.3M4.3M4.6M
Net Income9.5M13.8M20.0M27.4M33.0M34.7M
Change In Cash361K5.0M1.4M(270K)(2.1M)(2.0M)
Free Cash Flow9.3M15.1M15.1M14.7M12.2M12.8M
End Period Cash Flow602K5.6M6.9M6.7M4.5M4.8M
Dividends Paid6.1M6.9M9.8M16.4M21.3M22.4M
Change To Inventory(4.7M)(7.2M)(9.2M)(15.8M)(24.0M)(22.8M)
Net Borrowings(2.8M)(3.3M)(3.9M)(5.5M)(4.9M)(4.7M)
Change To Netincome207K1.5M(402K)78K70.2K66.7K
Investments(2.0M)(1.4M)(3.0M)(4.3M)(4.3M)(4.6M)

Supply Network Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Supply Network or Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Supply Network's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Supply stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Supply Network Volatility Alert

Supply Network has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.46 and kurtosis of 0.55. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Supply Network's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Supply Network's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Supply Network Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Supply Network's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Supply Network's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Supply Network and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Supply Network or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Supply Network's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Supply Network by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Supply Network to competition
FundamentalsSupply NetworkPeer Average
Return On Equity0.36-0.31
Return On Asset0.17-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding43.15 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders62.53 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions5.10 %39.21 %
Price To Book13.54 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.62 X11.42 X
Revenue302.6 M9.43 B
Gross Profit106.69 M27.38 B
EBITDA57.03 M3.9 B
Net Income33.02 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7.76 M2.7 B
Total Debt51.39 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.43 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations16.49 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.78 X3.12 X
Target Price34.24
Beta0.42-0.15
Market Capitalization1.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset200.52 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings60.34 M9.33 B
Working Capital93.24 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset200.52 M
Last Dividend Paid0.56

Supply Network Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Supply . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Supply Network Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Supply Network? Buying financial instruments such as Supply Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Supply Network in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Buywrite ETFs Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Buywrite ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Supply Stock Analysis

When running Supply Network's price analysis, check to measure Supply Network's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Supply Network is operating at the current time. Most of Supply Network's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Supply Network's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Supply Network's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Supply Network to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.