Toronto Dominion Bank Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TD Stock  USD 56.39  0.51  0.91%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Toronto Dominion Bank is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Toronto Dominion buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TD positions.
  
Check out Toronto Dominion Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Toronto and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Toronto Dominion Bank. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Toronto Dominion Buy or Sell Advice

The Toronto recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Toronto Dominion Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Toronto Dominion Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Toronto Dominion's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Toronto DominionBuy Toronto Dominion
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Toronto Dominion Bank has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), Jensen Alpha of (0.13), Total Risk Alpha of (0.26) and Treynor Ratio of (0.15)
Our recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Toronto Dominion Bank. Our recommendation engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Toronto Dominion Bank is not overpriced, please validate all Toronto Dominion fundamentals, including its gross profit, earnings per share, net asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . Given that Toronto Dominion Bank has a number of shares shorted of 49.95 M, we advise you to double-check Toronto Dominion Bank market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Toronto Dominion Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Toronto Dominion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Toronto Dominion Bank reports about 517.19 B in cash with (65.3 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 285.25.
Toronto Dominion has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of October 2024 Toronto Dominion paid $ 0.7497 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: SHAREHOLDER ALERT Pomerantz Law Firm Announces the Filing of a Class Action Against The Toronto-Dominion Bank - TD

Toronto Dominion Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Toronto Dominion's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Toronto Dominion's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Toronto Dominion daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Toronto Dominion Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Toronto Dominion returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Toronto Dominion.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-1.4
Potential Upside
1.54
Standard Deviation
1.18
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Toronto Dominion historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Toronto Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
18.6 M
Cibc Global Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
16.5 M
Beutel, Goodman & Company Ltd.2024-09-30
16.2 M
British Columbia Investment Management Corp2024-09-30
13.7 M
Fidelity International Ltd2024-06-30
13.5 M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2024-09-30
13.5 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
13.2 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
13.1 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
12.3 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
142.4 M
Bank Of Montreal2024-06-30
85.6 M
Note, although Toronto Dominion's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Toronto Dominion Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash1.6B(514M)2.6B(1.8B)(2.1B)(2.0B)
Free Cash Flow230.0B49B37.5B(67.1B)(77.2B)(73.4B)
Depreciation2.1B2.1B1.8B1.9B2.2B1.2B
Other Non Cash Items4.6B(1.0B)(981M)2.1B2.4B2.6B
Dividends Paid5.0B5.6B6.7B5.8B6.7B7.0B
Capital Expenditures1.8B1.1B1.5B1.8B2.1B2.2B
Net Income13.0B14.3B17.4B10.8B12.4B7.0B
End Period Cash Flow6.4B5.9B8.6B6.7B7.7B8.1B
Investments(224.1B)(42.3B)(31.9B)76.2B68.6B72.0B
Net Borrowings(126M)(550M)(657M)(2.4B)(2.7B)(2.6B)
Change To Netincome4.7B(711M)(475M)872M1.0B1.3B

Toronto Dominion Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Toronto Dominion or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Toronto Dominion's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Toronto stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Toronto Dominion Volatility Alert

Toronto Dominion Bank exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.57 and kurtosis of 7.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Toronto Dominion's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Toronto Dominion's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Toronto Dominion Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Toronto Dominion's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Toronto Dominion's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Toronto Dominion and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Toronto Dominion or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Toronto Dominion's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toronto Dominion by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Toronto Dominion to competition
FundamentalsToronto DominionPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0733-0.31
Return On Asset0.0043-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.14 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.75 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.08 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions59.53 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted49.95 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.50 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.35 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.87 X11.42 X
Revenue49.2 B9.43 B
Gross Profit49.2 B27.38 B
EBITDA15.86 B3.9 B
Net Income10.78 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents517.19 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share285.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt401.81 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity15.20 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share60.85 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(65.3 B)971.22 M
Short Ratio5.31 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.10 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.22 X4.89 X
Target Price86.18
Number Of Employees102.19 K18.84 K
Beta0.82-0.15
Market Capitalization97.67 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.96 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings73.04 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.05 %
Five Year Return3.86 %

Toronto Dominion Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Toronto . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Toronto Dominion Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Toronto Dominion Bank? Buying financial instruments such as Toronto Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Check out Toronto Dominion Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toronto Dominion. If investors know Toronto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toronto Dominion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Dividend Share
4.02
Earnings Share
3.1
Revenue Per Share
29.497
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.079
The market value of Toronto Dominion Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toronto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toronto Dominion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toronto Dominion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toronto Dominion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toronto Dominion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toronto Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toronto Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toronto Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.